DE

Take This Into Account Before Investing in DE

Deere & Company logged a 2.2% change during today's afternoon session, and is now trading at a price of $407.47 per share.

Deere & Company returned gains of 17.0% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $450.0 and a low of $328.62. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -2.0%. As of April 2023, the company's 50-day average price was $417.48. Deere & Company manufactures and distributes various equipment worldwide. Based in Moline, IL, the large-cap Industrials company has 82,200 full time employees. Deere & Company has offered a 1.2% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

The Company May Be Profitable, but Its Balance Sheet Is Highly Leveraged:

2017-12-18 2018-12-17 2019-12-19 2020-12-17 2021-12-16 2022-12-15
Revenue (MM) $29,738 $37,358 $39,258 $35,540 $44,024 $52,577
Gross Margins 33.0% 32.0% 32.0% 33.0% 34.0% 33.0%
Operating Margins 14% 14% 14% 14% 20% 19%
Net Margins 7.0% 6.0% 8.0% 8.0% 14.0% 14.0%
Net Income (MM) $2,159 $2,368 $3,253 $2,751 $5,963 $7,131
Net Interest Expense (MM) -$900 -$1,204 -$1,466 -$1,247 -$993 -$1,062
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$1,716 -$1,927 -$2,019 -$2,118 -$2,050 -$1,895
Earnings Per Share $6.68 $7.23 $10.15 $8.69 $19.14 $22.71
EPS Growth n/a 8.23% 40.39% -14.38% 120.25% 18.65%
Diluted Shares (MM) 323 327 321 317 312 314
Free Cash Flow (MM) $1,354 $1,235 $2,884 $6,520 $6,480 $3,740
Capital Expenditures (MM) $846 $587 $528 $963 $1,246 $959
Net Current Assets (MM) -$8,098 -$10,423 -$10,826 -$9,566 -$5,723 -$4,198
Long Term Debt (MM) $25,891 $27,237 $30,229 $32,734 $32,888 $33,596
Net Debt / EBITDA 5.25 5.26 5.4 5.28 3.73 3.84

Deere & Company has weak revenue growth and a flat capital expenditure trend, irregular cash flows, and a decent current ratio. We also note that the company benefits from exceptional EPS growth and average operating margins with a positive growth rate. However, the firm suffers from slimmer gross margins than its peers and a highly leveraged balance sheet.

A Very Low P/E Ratio but Trades Above Its Graham Number:

Deere & Company has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 12.4, compared to an average of 20.49 for the Industrials sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $33.05, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 12.6. The company doesn't provide forward earnings guidance, and the compound average growth rate of its last 6 years of reported EPS is 31.0%. On this basis, Deere & Company's PEG ratio is 0.4. Using instead the 10.8% weighted average of Deere & Company's earnings CAGR and the broader market's anticipated 5-year EPS growth rate, the company's PEG ratio is 1.14, which shows that its shares might be fairly priced. In contrast, Deere & Company is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 5.09 is higher than the sector average of 3.78. The company's shares are currently trading 123.9% above their Graham number.

Analysts Give Deere & Company an Average Rating of Buy:

The 20 analysts following Deere & Company have set target prices ranging from $388.0 to $530.0 per share, for an average of $454.25 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -8.1% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Deere & Company has a very low short interest because 0.8% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 78.8% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.19%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 8% stake in the company is worth $8,963,850,697.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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