Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) stock climbed 6.3 % this afternoon. According to our metrics, the company seems overvalued at today's prices. In the below analysis, we will put Advanced Drainage Systems's valuation in the context of its mixed growth prospects and positive market sentiment, which are also strong drivers for share price.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets thermoplastic corrugated pipes and related water management products, and drainage solutions for use in the underground construction and infrastructure marketplace in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The large-cap Industrials company is based in Hilliard, United States and has 5,635 full time employees.
WMS's P/E Ratio Is Comparable to its Sector Average
Compared to the Industrials sector's average of 21.46, Advanced Drainage Systems has a trailing twelve month price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.6 and an expected P/E ratio of 16.9. P/E ratios are calculated by dividing the company's share price by either its trailing 12 month ($5.42) or forward earnings per share ($5.97).
Earnings is another term for the net profits left over after subtracting cost of goods sold, taxes, and operating costs from the company's recorded sales revenue. One way of looking at the P/E ratio is that it represents how much investors are willing to pay for every dollar's worth of the company's earnings. Since Advanced Drainage Systems's P/E ratio is near its sector average of 21.46, we can deduce that the market is fairly valuing the company's earnings.
Advanced Drainage Systems Is Fairly Valued in Terms of Expected Growth
Another factor pointing to Advanced Drainage Systems's value is its PEG ratio of 0.84. This is the stock's price to earnings ratio divided by its estimated earnings growth rate. If the resulting ratio is near or lower than 1 -- but higher than 0 -- its indicates that the company is faitly valued in terms of expected growth.
WMS Has an Alarming P/B Ratio
The price to book (P/B) ratio of a company is a comparison of the company's market capitalization versus its net asset, or book value. A ratio lower than 1 tells you that the equity market is undervaluing the book value of the company's assets, and ratios higher than 1 tell you that the equity markets are overvaluing the company in terms of its assets.
Of course, a company is worth much more than its assets alone, so the focus on P/B ratio is mainly to enable investors to single out undervalued securities that offer a margin of safety. Since Advanced Drainage Systems's P/B ratio of 7.1 is higher than its sector average of 3.7, such a margin of safety does not exist for the stock.
WMS Is Generating Cash
Advanced Drainage Systems has decent free cash flows. This represents the actual cash that the company is generating from its sales revenues, minus its re-investments in the business (capital expenditures). The company's operating cash flows have an average growth rate of 36.8%, compared to 53.8% for capital expenditures. From the table below we can also see that the free cash flows has an average growth rate of 36.9% and a coefficient of variability of 57.9%:
Date Reported | Cash Flow from Operations ($ MM) | Capital expenditures ($ MM) | Free Cash Flow ($ MM) | YoY Growth (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
2022-03-31 | 275 | -149 | 126 | -66.31 |
2021-03-31 | 452 | -79 | 373 | 56.58 |
2020-03-31 | 306 | -68 | 239 | 120.3 |
2019-03-31 | 152 | -43 | 108 | n/a |
Advanced Drainage Systems's Is a Profitable Business
If you are looking to make WMS a long term investment, it's essential that you understand the viability of its business through a study of its margins. Gross margins tell you how much the company makes in profit when only the costs directly related to producing the goods or delivering the service are taken into account. Operating margins, on the other hand, factor in overhead costs so they tell you how effectively Advanced Drainage Systems is run.
Advanced Drainage Systems's Gross Margins
Date Reported | Revenue ($ MM) | Cost of Revenue ($ MM) | Gross Margins (%) | YoY Growth (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
2022-03-31 | 2,769 | 1,969 | 28.9 | -16.95 |
2021-03-31 | 1,983 | 1,293 | 34.8 | 84.03 |
2020-03-31 | 1,674 | 1,357 | 18.91 | -19.91 |
2019-03-31 | 1,385 | 1,058 | 23.61 | n/a |
Advanced Drainage Systems's Operating Margins
Date Reported | Total Revenue ($ MM) | Operating Expenses ($ MM) | Operating Margins (%) | YoY Growth (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
2022-03-31 | 2,769 | 385 | 15 | -14.72 |
2021-03-31 | 1,983 | 341 | 17.59 | 426.95 |
2020-03-31 | 1,674 | 406 | -5.38 | -155.98 |
2019-03-31 | 1,385 | 194 | 9.61 | n/a |
Advanced Drainage Systems's cost of revenue is growing at a rate of 25.3% in contrast to 35.5% for operating expenses. Sales revenues, on the other hand, have experienced a 26.3% growth rate. As a result, the average gross margins growth is 15.7 and the average operating margins growth rate is 85.4, with coefficients of variability of 25.8% and 111.6% respectively.
Advanced Drainage Systems Benefits From Positive Market Signals
The market sentiment regarding Advanced Drainage Systems is overwhelmingly positive. The stock has an average rating of buy and target prices ranging from $140 to $94. WMS is trading -16.96% away from its target price of $121.17. 5.2% of the company's shares are tied to short positions, and 87.4% of the shares are held by institutional investors.
Holder | Shares | Date Reported | Percentage | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|
Vanguard Group, Inc. (The) | 6,387,305 | 2022-09-29 | 8% | $642,690,646 |
Blackrock Inc. | 3,344,498 | 2022-09-29 | 4% | $336,523,397 |
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board | 3,189,240 | 2022-09-29 | 4% | $320,901,337 |
Impax Asset Management Group Plc | 2,501,837 | 2022-09-29 | 3% | $251,734,845 |
Capital International Investors | 2,457,212 | 2022-09-29 | 3% | $247,244,678 |
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2,274,372 | 2022-09-29 | 3% | $228,847,316 |
Invesco Ltd. | 1,855,604 | 2022-09-29 | 2% | $186,710,879 |
Berkshire Partners LLC | 1,826,684 | 2022-09-29 | 2% | $183,800,949 |
Boston Partners | 1,760,001 | 2022-09-29 | 2% | $177,091,305 |
Stockbridge Partners LLC | 1,467,649 | 2022-09-29 | 2% | $147,674,846 |