Consider This Before Taking a Position in Brown-Forman (BF-B)

Brown-Forman logged a -1.8% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $62.9 per share. The S&P 500 index moved -1.0% and the Nasdaq posted a -0.0% change.

Brown-Forman shares moved -8.0% over the last 52 weeks, with a high of $78.15 and a low of $60.23. During this time, the stock basically tracked the performance of the S&P 500. As of January 2022, the company's 50-day average price is $65.0.

Brown-Forman Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells various alcoholic beverages. The Large-Cap Consumer Defensive company has 5,200 full time employees and is based in Louisville, KY. Brown-Forman has returned a 1.2% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Declining EPS Growth Trend with Healthy Leverage Levels:

2019-04-30 2020-04-30 2021-04-30 2022-04-30
Revenue (MM) $3,324 $3,363 $3,461 $3,933
Revenue Growth n/a 1.17% 2.91% 13.64%
Gross Margins 65.2% 63.2% 60.5% 60.8%
Gross Margins Growth n/a -3.07% -4.27% 0.5%
Operating Margins 34.4% 32.4% 30.0% 30.6%
Operating Margins Growth n/a -5.81% -7.41% 2.0%
Net Margins 25.12% 24.59% 26.09% 21.31%
Net Margins Growth n/a -2.11% 6.1% -18.32%
Earnings Per Share $1.73 $1.72 $1.88 $1.51
EPS Growth n/a -0.58% 9.3% -19.68%
Diluted Shares (MM) 482 480 481 354
Free Cash Flow (MM) $679 $605 $752 $798
FCF Growth n/a -10.9% 24.3% 6.12%
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$121 -$119 -$65 -$138
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.77 1.65 1.27 1.1

Brown-Forman Is Overvalued:

Compared to the Consumer Defensive sector's average of 24.36, Brown-Forman has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 41.7 and, according to its EPS guidance of 2.03, an expected P/E ratio of 31.0. Brown-Forman's PEG ratio is 7.57 based on its 3.2% compound average growth rate of historical and projected earnings per share. This suggests that the company's shares are overvalued.

Brown-Forman's P/B ratio is 9.9 compared to its sector average of 4.29. The company is likely overvalued in terms of its net asset value. The company's shares are currently trading 302.7% above their fair value as expressed by Benjamin Graham's formula:

√(22.5 * 4-year average EPS * book value per share) = √(22.5 * 1.71 * 6.342) = $15.62

Most of the Market Indicators on Series([], ) Are Negative:

17 analysts are following Brown-Forman and have set target prices ranging from $60.0 to $90.0 per share. On average, they have given the company a rating of hold. At the current price of $62.9, BF-B is trading -8.01% away from its average analyst target price of $68.38 per share, implying an analyst consensus of some upside potential for the stock.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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