VLO

Valero Energy Stock Analysis – Key Findings and Insights

Valero Energy logged a 2.7% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $163.7 per share.

Valero Energy returned gains of 27.0% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $166.1 and a low of $104.18. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -2.5%. The company's 50-day average price was $139.15. Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. Based in San Antonio, TX, the Large-Cap Energy company has 9,886 full time employees. Valero Energy has offered a 2.6% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Exceptional EPS Growth and Healthy Leverage Levels:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (M) $117,033 $108,324 $64,912 $113,977 $176,383 $151,098
Operating Margins 4% 4% -2% 2% 9% 10%
Net Margins 3% 2% -2% 1% 7% 7%
Net Income (M) $3,122 $2,422 -$1,421 $930 $11,528 $10,746
Net Interest Expense (M) $470 $454 $563 $603 $562 $580
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $52 $53 $48 $47 $45 $43
Diluted Shares (M) 428 414 407 407 396 349
Earnings Per Share $7.29 $5.84 -$3.5 $2.27 $29.04 $29.25
EPS Growth n/a -19.89% -159.93% 164.86% 1179.3% 0.72%
Avg. Price $80.88 $70.38 $50.56 $66.27 $98.73 $163.7
P/E Ratio 11.08 12.05 -14.45 29.19 3.4 5.59
EV / EBITDA 8.9 9.38 -20.94 16.91 3.0 4.53
Total Debt (M) $9,109 $9,672 $14,677 $13,870 $11,635 $11,441
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.33 1.82 -7.42 4.48 0.43 0.38
Current Ratio 1.65 1.44 1.71 1.26 1.38 1.51

Valero Energy has exceptional EPS growth, a decent current ratio of 1.51, and healthy leverage levels. Furthermore, Valero Energy has weak operating margins with a positive growth rate.

Valero Energy's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Valero Energy has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 5.6, compared to an average of 8.53 for the Energy sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $13.38, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 10.4. The 9.1% compound average growth rate of Valero Energy's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of 0.62. This suggests that its shares are undervalued. In contrast, Valero Energy is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 2.07 is higher than the sector average of 1.78. The company's shares are currently trading 35.2% above their Graham number.

Valero Energy Has an Average Rating of Buy:

The 16 analysts following Valero Energy have set target prices ranging from $135.0 to $178.0 per share, for an average of $154.69 with a buy rating. The company is trading 5.8% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of little upside potential.

Valero Energy has an average amount of shares sold short because 3.6% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 80.7% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.48%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 10% stake in the company is worth $5,253,654,941.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

IN FOCUS