RIO

Analyzing Rio Tinto – Stock Performance Overview

Rio Tinto logged a -2.1% change during today's afternoon session, and is now trading at a price of $66.12 per share.

Over the last year, Rio Tinto logged a 0.6% change, with its stock price reaching a high of $75.09 and a low of $58.27. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -23.0%. AThe company's 50-day average price was $68.67. Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide. Based in London, United Kingdom, the Large-Cap Basic Materials company has 57,000 full time employees. Rio Tinto has offered a 6.4% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

An Excellent Current Ratio but a Declining EPS Growth Trend:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (M) $40,522 $43,165 $44,611 $63,495 $55,554 $54,041
Operating Margins 44% 27% 38% 47% 36% 27%
Net Margins 34% 16% 23% 36% 23% 18%
Net Income (M) $13,925 $6,972 $10,400 $22,597 $13,048 $9,953
Net Interest Expense (M) -$33 -$648 -$1,751 -$26 -$1,846 -$1,713
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $4,015 $4,384 $4,279 $4,697 $470 $484
Diluted Shares (M) 1,659 1,659 1,256 1,256 1,256 1,256
Earnings Per Share $7.88 $4.88 $6.0 $12.96 $7.6 $6.16
EPS Growth n/a -38.07% 22.95% 116.0% -41.36% -18.95%
Avg. Price $35.21 $40.26 $44.97 $65.16 $66.34 $66.02
P/E Ratio 4.44 8.2 7.45 4.99 8.67 10.65
Free Cash Flow (M) $11,821 $14,912 $15,875 $25,345 $16,134 $15,160
EV / EBITDA 2.77 4.53 2.81 2.36 4.25 5.58
Total Debt (M) $12,440 $13,093 $13,247 $12,395 $10,148 $12,177
Net Debt / EBITDA 0.08 0.32 0.14 -0.01 0.17 0.16
Current Ratio 1.91 1.56 1.8 1.93 1.64 2.06

Rio Tinto has an excellent current ratio of 2.06, generally positive cash flows, and healthy leverage levels. However, the firm has declining EPS growth. Finally, we note that Rio Tinto has decent operating margins with a negative growth trend.

The Market May Be Undervaluing Rio Tinto's Assets and Equity:

Rio Tinto has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 11.1, compared to an average of 22.71 for the Basic Materials sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $7.38, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 9.3. The -0.9% compound average growth rate of Rio Tinto's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of -11.94. This indicates that its shares are overvalued.In contrast, the market is likely undervaluing Rio Tinto in terms of its equity because its P/B ratio is 1.96 while the sector average is 3.12. The company's shares are currently trading -16.1% above their Graham number.

There's an Analyst Consensus of Strong Upside Potential for Rio Tinto:

The 4 analysts following Rio Tinto have set target prices ranging from $74.0 to $98.0 per share, for an average of $83.5 with a buy rating. The company is trading -20.8% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of strong upside potential.

The largest shareholder is Wellington Management Group, LLP, whose 2% stake in the company is worth $1,622,478,707.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

IN FOCUS