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Key Considerations Before Investing in ASML Stock

ASML logged a -8.1% change during today's afternoon session, and is now trading at a price of $756.76 per share.

ASML returned losses of -24.5% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $1077.05 and a low of $578.51. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -35.1%. AThe company's 50-day average price was $759.5. ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. Based in Veldhoven, Netherlands, the Large-Cap Technology company has 43,129 full time employees. ASML has offered a 0.6% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Wider Gross Margins Than the Industry Average of 36.97%:

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue (M) $11,820 $13,978 $18,611 $21,173 $27,558 $28,263
Gross Margins 45% 49% 53% 51% 51% 51%
Net Margins 22% 25% 32% 27% 28% 27%
Net Income (M) $2,592 $3,554 $5,883 $5,624 $7,839 $7,572
Net Interest Expense (M) $37 $43 $55 $61 $153 $160
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $448 $491 $471 $584 $740 $787
Diluted Shares (M) 422 419 410 398 394 394
Earnings Per Share $6.15 $8.48 $14.34 $14.13 $19.89 $19.24
EPS Growth n/a 37.89% 69.1% -1.46% 40.76% -3.27%
Free Cash Flow (M) $2,510 $3,666 $9,945 $7,205 $3,288 $9,099
CAPEX (M) $767 $962 $901 $1,282 $2,156 $2,067
Total Debt (M) $3,108 $4,663 $4,075 $3,514 $4,632 $3,677
Net Debt / EBITDA -0.13 -0.31 -0.4 -0.53 -0.24 -0.92
Current Ratio 2.58 2.41 1.48 1.28 1.5 1.53

ASML has rapidly growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business, exceptional EPS growth, and generally positive cash flows. The company also benefits from wider gross margins than its peer group, a decent current ratio of 1.53, and healthy leverage levels.

a Very Low P/E Ratio but Trades Above Its Graham Number:

ASML has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 29.4, compared to an average of 30.44 for the Technology sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $26.7, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 28.4. According to the 23.3% compound average growth rate of ASML's historical and projected earnings per share, the company's PEG ratio is 1.26. Taking the weighted average of the company's EPS CAGR and the broader market's 5-year projected EPS growth rate, we obtain a normalized growth rate of 14.8%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 1.99. This suggests that these shares are overvalued. Furthermore, ASML is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 16.96 is higher than the sector average of 4.19. The company's shares are currently trading 430.9% below their Graham number. Ultimately, ASML's strong cash flows, decent earnings multiple, and healthy debt levels factor towards it being fairly valued, its elevated P/B ratio notwithstanding.

ASML Has an Average Rating of Buy:

The 13 analysts following ASML have set target prices ranging from $729.58136 to $1128.9045 per share, for an average of $902.8 with a buy rating. The company is trading -16.2% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

ASML has a very low short interest because 0.8% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 18.1% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.01%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Capital World Investors, whose 1% stake in the company is worth $3,372,924,769.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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