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PLD

Insider Update – Analyzing PLD Stock Performance

Now trading at a price of $122.0, Prologis has moved -1.5% so far today.

Prologis returned gains of 8.1% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $127.5 and a low of $85.35. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -3.7%. The company's 50-day average price was $119.55. Prologis, Inc., is the global leader in logistics real estate with a focus on high-barrier, high-growth markets. Based in San Francisco, CA, the Large-Cap Real Estate company has 2,703 full time employees. Prologis has offered a 3.2% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Exceptional Profitability Overshadowed by Excessive Leverage:

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue (M) $3,331 $4,439 $4,759 $5,974 $8,023 $8,202
Operating Margins 56% 48% 67% 57% 46% 54%
Net Margins 47% 33% 62% 56% 38% 45%
Net Income (M) $1,573 $1,482 $2,940 $3,365 $3,059 $3,732
Net Interest Expense (M) $240 $315 $266 $309 $641 $864
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $1,140 $1,562 $1,578 $1,813 $2,485 $2,581
Diluted Shares (M) 655 754 765 812 952 954
Earnings Per Share $2.46 $2.01 $3.94 $4.25 $3.29 $4.01
EPS Growth n/a -18.29% 96.02% 7.87% -22.59% 21.88%
Avg. Price $71.65 $87.89 $118.74 $139.37 $133.3 $121.69
P/E Ratio 28.89 43.51 29.91 32.56 40.39 30.27
Free Cash Flow (M) $469 $1,017 $356 $1,008 $1,974 $1,706
CAPEX (M) $1,795 $1,920 $2,640 $3,118 $3,399 $3,206
EV / EBITDA 18.73 22.05 18.28 24.0 24.47 20.31
Total Debt (M) $11,906 $16,849 $215 $23,876 $29,001 $30,879
Net Debt / EBITDA 3.62 4.41 -0.07 4.47 4.6 4.23

Prologis has rapidly growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business and strong operating margins with a stable trend. Additionally, the company's financial statements display generally positive cash flows and positive EPS growth. However, the firm has a highly leveraged balance sheet.

Prologis's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Prologis has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 34.8, compared to an average of 27.31 for the Real Estate sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $3.52, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 34.0. The 5.3% compound average growth rate of Prologis's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of 6.62. This suggests that these shares are overvalued. Furthermore, Prologis is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 2.16 is higher than the sector average of 1.94. The company's shares are currently trading 70.7% below their Graham number. In conclusion, Prologis's impressive cash flow trend, decent P/B ratio, and reasonable use of leverage demonstrate that the company may still be fairly valued — despite its elevated earnings multiple.

There's an Analyst Consensus of Some Upside Potential for Prologis:

The 20 analysts following Prologis have set target prices ranging from $116.0 to $145.0 per share, for an average of $130.3 with a buy rating. The company is trading -6.4% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Prologis has a very low short interest because 1.4% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 97.2% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.28%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 13% stake in the company is worth $14,891,915,726.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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