PEP

Market Inference Overview -- PEP Stock

PepsiCo logged a 0.8% change Friday, and is now trading at a price of $182.3 per share. The S&P 500 index moved 1.0% and the Nasdaq posted a 2.0% change.

PepsiCo shares moved 7.7% over the last 52 weeks, with a high of $186.84 and a low of $154.86. During this time, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 18.0%. As of January 2022, the company's 50-day average price is $174.0. PepsiCo, Inc. manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells various beverages and convenient foods worldwide. The large-cap Consumer Staples company has 315,000 full time employees and is based in Purchase, NY. PepsiCo has returned a 2.5% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Snapshot of the Company's Consistent Operating Margins:

2019-12-31 2020-12-31 2021-12-31 2022-12-31
Revenue (MM) $67,161 $70,372 $79,474 $86,392
Revenue Growth n/a 4.78% 12.93% 8.7%
Gross Margins 55.1% 54.8% 53.4% 53.0%
Gross Margins Growth n/a -0.54% -2.55% -0.75%
Operating Margins 15.3% 14.3% 14.0% 13.2%
Operating Margins Growth n/a -6.54% -2.1% -5.71%
Net Margins 10.89% 10.12% 9.59% 10.31%
Net Margins Growth n/a -7.07% -5.24% 7.51%
Earnings Per Share $5.2 $5.12 $5.49 $6.47
EPS Growth n/a -1.54% 7.23% 17.85%
Diluted Shares (MM) 1,407 1,392 1,389 1,377
Free Cash Flow (MM) $5,417 $6,373 $6,991 $5,604
FCF Growth n/a 17.65% 9.7% -19.84%
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$4,232 -$4,240 -$4,625 -$5,207
Net Debt / EBITDA 2.06 2.82 2.33 2.31

PepsiCo Is Too Expensive at Current Levels:

Compared to the Consumer Staples sector's average of 24.36, PepsiCo has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 28.2 and, according to its EPS guidance of 7.87, an expected P/E ratio of 23.2. PepsiCo's PEG ratio is 2.5 based on its 11.25% annual average growth rate of historical and projected earnings per share. This suggests that the company's shares are overvalued.

PepsiCo's P/B ratio is 14.6 compared to its sector average of 4.29. The company is likely overvalued in terms of its net asset value. The company's shares are currently trading 361.4% above their fair value as expressed by Benjamin Graham's formula:

√(22.5 * 4-year average EPS * book value per share) = √(22.5 * 5.57 * 12.454) = $39.51

PepsiCo Is the Subject of Mixed Market Indicators:

21 analysts are following PepsiCo and have set target prices ranging from $175.0 to $213.6 per share. On average, they have given the company a rating of buy. At the current price of $182.3, PEP is trading -4.16% away from its average analyst target price of $190.22 per share, implying an analyst consensus of some upside potential for the stock.

The company has a very low short interest since 0.8% of the company's shares are tied to short positions. Institutions own 76.0% of PepsiCo's shares, while the insider ownership rate stands at 0.15%. The biggest shareholder is the Vanguard Group, Inc. with a 9% stake in the company worth approximately $23,790,990,436.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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