Is Upwork (UPWK) an Overvalued Company?

Upwork may be overvalued with mixed growth prospects, but the 11 analysts following the company give it an average rating of buy. The analysts have set target prices ranging from $13.0 to $28.0 per share, for an average of $17.91. At today's price of $9.88, Upwork is trading -44.84% away from its average target price, suggesting there is an analyst consensus of strong upside potential.

Upwork Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a work marketplace that connects businesses with various independent professionals and agencies in the United States, India, the Philippines, and internationally. Based in Santa Clara, CA, the mid-cap Industrials company has 850 full time employees. Upwork has not offered a dividend during the last year.

Upwork does not have a meaningful trailing P/E ratio since its earnings per share are currently in the red. Based on its EPS guidance of 0.34, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 29.1. In comparison, the average P/E ratio for the Industrials sector is 20.49. Furthermore, Upwork is likely overvalued compared to its book value, since its P/B ratio of 5.3 is higher than the sector average of 3.78.

2019-12-31 2020-12-31 2021-12-31 2022-12-31
Revenue (k) $300,562 $373,628 $502,797 $618,318
Revenue Growth n/a 24.31% 34.57% 22.98%
Gross Margins 70.7% 72.1% 73.0% 74.1%
Gross Margins Growth n/a 1.98% 1.25% 1.51%
Operating Margins -6.2% -6.0% -10.8% -15.0%
Operating Margins Growth n/a 3.23% -80.0% -38.89%
Net Margins -5.54% -6.12% -11.19% -14.54%
Net Margins Growth n/a -10.47% -82.84% -29.94%
Earnings Per Share -$0.15 -$0.19 -$0.44 -$0.7
EPS Growth n/a -26.67% -131.58% -59.09%
Diluted Shares (MM) 110 119 127 132
Free Cash Flow (k) -$15,580 $8,000 $4,699 -$2,174
FCF Growth n/a 151.35% -41.26% -146.27%
Capital Expenditures (k) -$16,638 -$14,365 -$6,137 -$8,733
LT Debt to Equity 0.04 0.01 2.16 2.27
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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