How Do We Tell if Snowflake (SNOW) Is Overvalued?

Snowflake may be overvalued with poor growth indicators, but the 39 analysts following the company give it an average rating of buy. The analysts have set target prices ranging from $105.0 to $500.0 per share, for an average of $180.67. At today's price of $139.19, Snowflake is trading -22.96% away from its average target price, suggesting there is an analyst consensus of strong upside potential.

Snowflake Inc. provides a cloud-based data platform for various organizations in the United States and internationally. Based in Bozeman, MT, the large-cap Technology company has 5,884 full time employees. Snowflake has not offered a dividend during the last year.

Snowflake does not have a meaningful trailing P/E ratio since its earnings per share are currently in the red. Based on its EPS guidance of 1.01, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 137.8. In comparison, the average P/E ratio for the Technology sector is 27.16. Furthermore, Snowflake is likely overvalued compared to its book value, since its P/B ratio of 8.2 is higher than the sector average of 6.23.

If analysts are giving the the company a decent rating despite its hefty price point, it could be related to its strong cash flows. They might also believe that Snowflake's positive margin growth trend will continue.

2020-01-31 2021-01-31 2022-01-31 2023-01-31
Revenue (MM) $265 $592 $1,219 $2,066
Revenue Growth n/a 123.63% 105.95% 69.41%
Gross Margins 56.0% 59.0% 62.4% 65.3%
Gross Margins Growth n/a 5.36% 5.76% 4.65%
Operating Margins -135.3% -91.9% -58.6% -40.8%
Operating Margins Growth n/a 32.08% 36.24% 30.38%
Net Margins -131.65% -91.06% -55.76% -38.57%
Net Margins Growth n/a 30.83% 38.77% 30.83%
Earnings Per Share -$1.63 -$3.81 -$2.26 -$2.49
EPS Growth n/a -133.74% 40.68% -10.18%
Diluted Shares (MM) 214 142 300 325
Free Cash Flow (MM) -$199 -$94 $57 $496
FCF Growth n/a 52.8% 160.4% 772.09%
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$23 -$49 -$53 -$50
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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