FL

Are Foot Locker (FL)’s Bearish Ratings Justified?

Foot Locker may be undervalued with mixed growth prospects, but the 17 analysts following the company give it an rating of hold. Their target prices range from $11.0 to $30.0 per share, for an average of $20.53. At today's price of $17.68, Foot Locker is trading -13.88% away from its average target price, suggesting there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential for the stock.

Foot Locker, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a footwear and apparel retailer in North America, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and the Middle East. Based in New York, NY, the mid-cap Consumer Discretionary company has 15,200 full time employees. Foot Locker has provided a 9.0% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Foot Locker has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 11.4, compared to an average of 22.33 for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Considering its EPS guidance of $2.14, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 8.3.

The average compound growth rate of the company's last 6 years of reported earnings per share is -17.5% (the company doesn't issue forward EPS guidance). On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is -0.88, which indicates that its shares are overpriced.

On the other hand, the market is potentially undervaluing Foot Locker in terms of its book value because its P/B ratio is 0.51. In comparison, the sector average P/B ratio is 3.12. The company's shares are currently -77.2% below their Graham number, indicating that its shares have a margin of safety.

So why does Foot Locker get a bad rating from most analysts despite its seemingly attractive valuation? One reason could be its worrying EPS growth rate of -17.5%.

2017-03-23 2018-03-29 2019-04-02 2020-03-27 2021-03-25 2022-03-24
Revenue (MM) $7,766 $7,782 $7,939 $8,005 $7,548 $8,958
Gross Margins 34.0% 32.0% 32.0% 32.0% 28.0% 34.0%
Operating Margins 13% 7% 9% 9% 6% 12%
Net Margins 9.0% 4.0% 7.0% 6.0% 4.0% 10.0%
Net Income (MM) $664 $284 $541 $491 $323 $891
Net Interest Expense (MM) -$2 $2 $9 $11 -$7 -$14
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$158 -$173 -$178 -$179 -$176 -$197
Earnings Per Share $4.91 $2.22 $4.66 $4.5 $3.07 $8.58
EPS Growth n/a -54.79% 109.91% -3.43% -31.78% 179.48%
Diluted Shares (MM) 135 128 116 109 105 104
Free Cash Flow (MM) $1,110 $1,087 $966 $881 $1,221 $872
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$266 -$274 -$185 -$185 -$159 -$206
Net Current Assets (MM) $1,503 $1,109 $1,204 -$1,730 -$1,432 -$2,529
Long Term Debt (MM) $127 $125 $124 $2,800 $2,507 $2,814
Net Debt / EBITDA -0.79 -0.97 -0.84 2.12 2.53 2.11
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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