KDP

What You May Have Missed About Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP)

Keurig Dr Pepper shares fell by -2.8% during the day's afternoon session, and are now trading at a price of $30.8. Is it time to buy the dip? To better answer that question, it's essential to check if the market is valuing the company's shares fairly in terms of its earnings and equity levels.

A Lower P/B Ratio Than Its Sector Average but Trades Above Its Graham Number:

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. operates as a beverage company in the United States and internationally. The company belongs to the Consumer Staples sector, which has an average price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.36 and an average price to book (P/B) ratio of 4.29. In contrast, Keurig Dr Pepper has a trailing 12 month P/E ratio of 27.3 and a P/B ratio of 1.7.

Keurig Dr Pepper's PEG ratio is 2.52, which shows that the stock is probably overvalued in terms of its estimated growth. For reference, a PEG ratio near or below 1 is a potential signal that a company is undervalued.

The Company May Be Profitable, but Its Balance Sheet Is Highly Leveraged:

2018-08-07 2019-02-28 2020-02-27 2021-02-25 2022-02-24 2023-02-23
Revenue (MM) $6,690 $7,442 $11,120 $11,618 $12,683 $14,057
Gross Margins 60.0% 52.0% 56.0% 56.0% 55.0% 52.0%
Operating Margins 21% 17% 21% 22% 23% 20%
Net Margins 16.0% 8.0% 11.0% 11.0% 17.0% 10.0%
Net Income (MM) $1,076 $586 $1,254 $1,325 $2,146 $1,436
Net Interest Expense (MM) -$161 -$452 -$654 -$604 -$500 -$693
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$198 -$354 -$484 -$495 -$544 -$537
Earnings Per Share $5.89 $0.53 $0.88 $0.93 $1.5 $1.01
EPS Growth n/a -91.0% 66.04% 5.68% 61.29% -32.67%
Diluted Shares (MM) 183 1,098 1,419 1,422 1,428 1,428
Free Cash Flow (MM) $1,243 $1,790 $2,592 $2,770 $3,207 $3,048
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$205 -$177 -$118 -$314 -$333 -$211
Net Current Assets (MM) -$7,025 -$24,226 -$23,988 -$23,561 -$22,569 -$22,908
Long Term Debt (MM) $3,161 $14,201 $12,827 $11,143 $11,578 $11,072
Net Debt / EBITDA 2.08 9.79 5.01 4.36 3.29 3.44

Keurig Dr Pepper has slimmer gross margins than its peers, declining EPS growth, and a highly leveraged balance sheet. On the other hand, the company has average operating margins with a stable trend working in its favor. Furthermore, Keurig Dr Pepper has weak revenue growth and a flat capital expenditure trend and irregular cash flows.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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