CHD

Church & Dwight Company (CHD) Stock in Free Fall! Looking for a Silver Lining?

Church & Dwight Company was one of the market's biggest losers today, losing 4.3% of its value and underperforming both the S&P500 and Dow Industrial composite indices by -1.0%. The large-cap Consumer Discretionary company ended the day at $86.32, closing in on its 52 week high low of $70.16 and is 14.27% below its average target price of $100.69. Over the last 12 months, Church & Dwight Company is up 23.0%, and has outperformed the S&P 500 by 3.0%. The stock has an average analyst rating of hold.

Church & Dwight Company has a trailing 12 month price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 47.7, which corresponds to its share price divided by its trailing earnings per share (EPS) of $1.81. The company's forward P/E ratio is 25.2 based on its forward EPS of $3.43.

Earnings refer to the net income of the company from its sales operations, and the P/E ratio tells us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of these earnings. By way of comparison, the Consumer Discretionary sector has historically had an average P/E ratio of 22.33. Whether the company's P/E ratio is within a high or low range tells us how investors are currently valuing the stock's earning potential, but it doesn't tell us how its price will move in the future.

Another metric for valuing a stock is its Price to Book (P/B) Ratio, which consists in its share price divided by its book value per share. The book value refers to the present value of the company if it sold all its tangible assets and paid off all debts today. Church & Dwight Company's P/B ratio of 5.43 indicates that the market may be overvaluing the company when compared to the average P/B ratio of the Consumer Discretionary sector, which is 3.12.

To understand Church & Dwight Company's business, and therefore its attractiveness as a potential investment, we must analyze its margins in two steps. First, we look at its gross margins, which take into account only the direct cost of providing the product or service to the customer. This enables us to determine whether the company benefits from an advantageous market position:

Date Reported Revenue ($ k) Cost of Revenue ($ k) Gross Margins (%) YoY Growth (%)
2023-02-16 5,375,600 -3,125,600 42 -4.55
2022-02-17 5,190,100 -2,926,600 44 -2.22
2021-02-18 4,895,800 -2,681,600 45 -2.17
2020-02-18 4,357,700 -2,373,700 46 4.55
2019-02-21 4,145,900 -2,305,100 44 -4.35
2018-02-23 3,776,200 -2,046,600 46
  • Average gross margins: 44.5 %
  • Average gross margins growth rate: -0.1 %
  • Coefficient of variability (lower numbers indicate more stability): 3.4 %

Next, we consider the Church & Dwight Company's operating margins, which take into account overhead. This tells us whether the company's business model is fundamentally profitable or not:

Date Reported Total Revenue ($ k) Operating Expenses ($ k) Operating Margins (%) YoY Growth (%)
2023-02-16 5,375,600 -1,652,200 11 -47.62
2022-02-17 5,190,100 -1,184,400 21 0.0
2021-02-18 4,895,800 -1,184,500 21 10.53
2020-02-18 4,357,700 -1,143,800 19 0.0
2019-02-21 4,145,900 -1,049,100 19 0.0
2018-02-23 3,776,200 -996,900 19
  • Average operating margins: 18.3 %
  • Average operating margins growth rate: -8.5 %
  • Coefficient of variability (lower numbers indicate more stability): 20.3 %

Since both Church & Dwight Company's gross margins and operating margins tend to be positive, we know that its business is currently profitable. However, it's important to take into account their variability and overall growth trend to make a definitive conclusion regarding the company's strength.

To get a better idea of Church & Dwight Company's finances, we will now look at its cash flows. Often touted as a general yardstick for a company's financial health, cash flows represent the sum of inflows and outflows of cash from all sources, including capital expenditures:

Date Reported Cash Flow from Operations ($ k) Capital expenditures ($ k) Free Cash Flow ($ k) YoY Growth (%)
2023-02-16 885,200 -178,800 1,064,000 -4.37
2022-02-17 993,800 -118,800 1,112,600 2.81
2021-02-18 990,300 -91,900 1,082,200 15.35
2020-02-18 864,500 -73,700 938,200 13.86
2019-02-21 763,600 -60,400 824,000 13.42
2018-02-23 681,500 -45,000 726,500
  • Average free cash flow: $1.06 Billion
  • Average free cash flow growth rate: 0.0 %
  • Coefficient of variability (lower numbers indicating more stability): 2286730546.7%

This is the pool of liquidity that the company can use to reinvest in its business and to pay its equity investors a dividend. Investors in Church & Dwight Company enjoy a dividend yield of 1.2%, and they can expect this to continue based on the company's positive cash flows.

Church & Dwight Company does not meet the traditional definition of a fairly valued company. Unless the company has strong qualitative factors in its favor, most value investors will probably prefer to avoid this stock.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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