Don't Judge Welltower on Technicals Alone - Check Its Fundamentals!

Welltower logged a 2.6% change during today's afternoon session, and is now trading at a price of $84.23 per share.

Welltower returned gains of 47.0% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $86.72 and a low of $56.5. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 24.0%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $82.67. Welltower Inc. (NYSE:WELL), a real estate investment trust ("REIT") and S&P 500 company headquartered in Toledo, Ohio, is driving the transformation of health care infrastructure. Based in Toledo, OH, the large-cap Real Estate company has 514 full time employees. Welltower has offered a 3.0% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Healthy Debt Levels but a Declining EPS Growth Trend:

2018-02-28 2019-02-25 2020-02-14 2021-02-10 2022-02-16 2023-02-21
Revenue (MM) $4,317 $4,700 $5,121 $4,606 $4,742 $5,861
Operating Margins 28% 25% 25% 18% 17% 14%
Net Margins 12.0% 17.0% 24.0% 21.0% 7.0% 2.0%
Net Income (MM) $523 $805 $1,232 $979 $336 $141
Net Interest Expense (MM) -$485 -$527 -$556 -$514 -$490 -$530
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$922 -$950 -$1,027 -$1,038 -$1,038 -$1,310
Earnings Per Share $1.26 $2.02 $3.05 $2.35 $0.78 $0.33
EPS Growth n/a 60.32% 50.99% -22.95% -66.81% -57.69%
Diluted Shares (MM) 369 375 404 417 430 427
Free Cash Flow (MM) $1,112 $3,869 -$786 -$2,690 $488 $1,605
Capital Expenditures (MM) $322 -$2,285 $2,322 $4,055 $788 -$277
Net Current Assets (MM) -$8,720 -$10,460 -$11,648 -$12,555 -$13,918 -$14,520
Long Term Debt (MM) $11,732 $13,297 $14,915 $13,799 $14,131 $14,548

Welltower's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Welltower has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 318.0, compared to an average of 24.81 for the Real Estate sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $1.08, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 76.5. The company doesn't issue forward earnings guidance, and the compound average growth rate of its last 6 years of reported EPS is -23.1%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is -13.75, which indicates that its shares are overpriced. In contrast, the market is likely undervaluing Welltower in terms of its equity because its P/B ratio is 2.02 while the sector average is 2.24. The company's shares are currently trading 336.7% above their Graham number.

Welltower Has an Average Rating of Buy:

The 16 analysts following Welltower have set target prices ranging from $78.0 to $96.0 per share, for an average of $88.75 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -6.9% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Welltower has an average amount of shares sold short because 3.4% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 98.8% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.06%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 15% stake in the company is worth $6,620,555,671.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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