IVZ

What's Behind the Bearish Analyst Sentiment on Invesco (IVZ)?

Invesco may be undervalued with poor growth indicators, but the 12 analysts following the company give it an rating of hold. Their target prices range from $15.0 to $21.0 per share, for an average of $16.9. At today's price of $13.82, Invesco is trading -18.2% away from its average target price, suggesting there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential for the stock.

Invesco Ltd. is a publicly owned investment manager. Based in Atlanta, GA, the mid-cap Finance company has 8,621 full time employees. Invesco has provided a 5.6% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Invesco has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 9.9, compared to an average of 14.34 for the Finance sector. Considering its EPS guidance of $1.82, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 7.6.

The average compound growth rate of the company's last 6 years of reported earnings per share is -10.6% (the company doesn't issue forward EPS guidance). On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is -1.02, which indicates that its shares are overpriced.

On the other hand, the market is potentially undervaluing Invesco in terms of its book value because its P/B ratio is 0.55. In comparison, the sector average P/B ratio is 1.57. The company's shares are currently -60.0% below their Graham number, indicating that its shares have a margin of safety.

So why does Invesco get a bad rating from most analysts despite its seemingly attractive valuation? One reason could be its worrying EPS growth rate of -10.6%.

2018-02-23 2019-02-22 2020-03-02 2021-02-19 2022-02-18 2023-02-23
Revenue (MM) $5,160 $5,314 $6,117 $6,146 $6,894 $6,049
Interest Income (MM) -$81 -$90 -$107 -$109 -$70 -$61
Operating Margins 27% 25% 23% 20% 25% 22%
Net Margins 22.0% 17.0% 11.0% 12.0% 24.0% 15.0%
Net Income (MM) $1,127 $883 $688 $762 $1,630 $921
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$117 -$142 -$178 -$204 -$205 -$195
Earnings Per Share $2.75 $2.14 $1.28 $1.13 $2.99 $1.47
EPS Growth n/a -22.18% -40.19% -11.72% 164.6% -50.84%
Diluted Shares (MM) 410 412 440 462 466 465
Free Cash Flow (MM) $1,270 $931 $1,241 $1,345 $1,187 $896
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$112 -$102 -$124 -$115 -$109 -$193
Net Current Assets (MM) -$5,285 -$6,936 -$10,017 -$10,189 -$11,616 -$9,478
Long Term Debt (MM) $2,860 $2,588 $8,315 $2,083 $9,421 $8,078
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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