NSC

Market Inference Overview -- NSC Stock

Now trading at a price of $221.75, Norfolk Southern has moved 0.3% so far today.

Norfolk Southern returned losses of -12.7% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $261.71 and a low of $183.09. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -28.0%. As of April 2023, the company's 50-day average price was $203.06. Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. Based in Atlanta, GA, the large-cap Industrials company has 19,300 full time employees. Norfolk Southern has offered a 2.4% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Irregular Cash Flows With a Flat Trend:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (MM) $11,458 $11,296 $9,789 $11,142 $12,745 $12,320
Revenue Growth n/a -1.41% -13.34% 13.82% 14.39% -3.33%
Operating Margins 35% 35% 31% 40% 38% 26%
Net Margins 23% 24% 21% 27% 26% 17%
Net Income (MM) $2,666 $2,722 $2,013 $3,005 $3,270 $2,090
Net Interest Expense (MM) $557 $604 $625 $646 $692 $704
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) $1,104 $1,139 $1,154 $1,181 $1,221 $1,277
Earnings Per Share $9.51 $10.25 $7.84 $12.11 $13.88 $9.1
EPS Growth n/a 7.78% -23.51% 54.46% 14.62% -34.44%
Diluted Shares (MM) 280 266 257 248 236 207
Free Cash Flow (MM) $1,775 $1,873 $2,143 $2,785 $2,274 $1,142
Capital Expenditures (MM) $1,951 $2,019 $1,494 $1,470 $1,948 $2,162
Current Ratio 0.72 0.9 1.07 0.86 0.76 1.08
Total Debt (MM) $11,145 $12,196 $12,681 $13,840 $15,182 $16,584
Net Debt / EBITDA 2.13 2.27 2.78 2.31 2.44 3.35

Norfolk Southern has weak revenue growth and a flat capital expenditure trend, average net margins with a stable trend, and flat EPS growth. In addition, we note significant leverage. Furthermore, the firm has irregular cash flows.

Norfolk Southern's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Norfolk Southern has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 22.2, compared to an average of 22.19 for the Industrials sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $12.91, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 15.7. The 4.5% compound average growth rate of Norfolk Southern's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of 4.98. This suggests that these shares are overvalued. In contrast, the market is likely undervaluing Norfolk Southern in terms of its equity because its P/B ratio is 3.98 while the sector average is 4.06. The company's shares are currently trading 98.4% above their Graham number.

Norfolk Southern Has an Average Rating of Buy:

The 23 analysts following Norfolk Southern have set target prices ranging from $170.0 to $264.0 per share, for an average of $228.96 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -11.3% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Norfolk Southern has a very low short interest because 1.2% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 77.6% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.14%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 8% stake in the company is worth $4,103,471,332.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

IN FOCUS