Identifying Challenges Ahead for Fortinet Stock

With a sudden -3.0% drop to $56.11, Fortinet has Wall Street wondering if its shares will keep moving past its target price of $57.19. With an average rating of buy, and analysts assigning target prices from 49.0 to 78.9 dollars per share, investors will be betting heavily on the Computer Equipment stock's next move.

The market seems to share this rosy outlook, since Fortinet has a short interest of only 1.9%. This represents the percentage of the share float that is being shorted, and each short position stands for an investor's expectation that the price of the stock will go down in the future.

Short selling involves borrowing shares and then selling them at current market prices. In the successful version of the strategy, the shares are purchased at a lower price at some time in the future. The investor then returns the shares to the lender, and keeps the profit made on the sell/buy transaction.

Another way to gauge the sentiment on Fortinet is to look at the percentage of institutions that are invested in the stock. In this case, 71.3% of the shares are held by pension, mutual, and hedge funds, which shows that these institutions probably have strong confidence in the stock.

If institutions are invested in a particular stock, it shows in most cases that they have performed quality research and concluded that it is a good investment. In some cases, however, increases in institutional ownership could be a sign of a takeover attempt or proxy fight, which can actually injure share prices. Also, institutions are not infallible, and can certainly make miscalculations -- often with spectacular results.

Overall, there is positive market sentiment towards Fortinet because of an analyst consensus of some upside potential, a buy rating, a very low short interest, and an average number of institutional investors. Investors should not base their decisions on market sentiment only, they should also be aware of a stock's fundamentals before committing.

At a glance, here are some essential statistics you may want to know about FTNT:

  • It has trailing 12 month earnings per share (EPS) of $1.44 per share

  • Fortinet has a trailing 12 month Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 39.0 while the S&P 500 average is 15.97

  • The company has a Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 590.63 in contrast to the S&P 500's average ratio of 2.95

  • Fortinet is a Technology company, and the sector average P/E and P/B ratios are 35.0 and 7.92 respectively

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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