KMI

Is the Bearish Sentiment on Kinder Morgan (KMI) Valid?

Kinder Morgan may be undervalued with poor growth indicators, but the 16 analysts following the company give it an rating of hold. Their target prices range from $17.0 to $23.0 per share, for an average of $20.5. At today's price of $16.59, Kinder Morgan is trading -19.05% away from its average target price, suggesting there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential for the stock.

Kinder Morgan, Inc. operates as an energy infrastructure company in North America. The large-cap Utilities company is based in Houston, TX. Kinder Morgan has provided a 6.8% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Kinder Morgan has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 15.7, compared to an average of 17.53 for the Utilities sector. Considering its EPS guidance of $1.28, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 13.0.

On the other hand, the market is potentially undervaluing Kinder Morgan in terms of its book value because its P/B ratio is 1.22. In comparison, the sector average P/B ratio is 1.71. The company's shares are currently 10.5% above their Graham number, which suggests that they are not trading at a fair value in terms of earnings and net assets.

Why would analysts be giving such an undervalued stock a bad rating? It's possible that analysts are looking beyond common valuation metrics and taking into account the company's potentially irresponsible use of debt to operate its business. They likely put significant weight behind Kinder Morgan's perceived lack of growth potential, as signaled by its 3.0% rate of revenue growth and capital expenditures that are declining at -3.5%.

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (MM) $14,144 $13,209 $11,700 $16,610 $19,200 $15,875
Revenue Growth n/a -6.61% -11.42% 41.97% 15.59% -17.32%
Operating Margins 27% 37% 13% 18% 21% 27%
Net Margins 11% 17% 1% 11% 13% 16%
Net Income (MM) $1,609 $2,190 $119 $1,784 $2,548 $2,467
Net Interest Expense (MM) -$1,917 -$1,801 -$1,595 -$1,492 -$1,513 -$1,771
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) $2,297 $2,411 $2,164 $2,135 $2,186 $2,237
Earnings Per Share $0.73 $0.97 $0.05 $0.78 $1.12 $1.1
EPS Growth n/a 32.88% -94.85% 1460.0% 43.59% -1.79%
Diluted Shares (MM) 2,216 2,264 2,263 2,266 2,258 2,230
Free Cash Flow (MM) $2,139 $2,478 $2,843 $4,427 $3,346 $3,407
Capital Expenditures (MM) $2,904 $2,270 $1,707 $1,281 $1,621 $2,166
Current Ratio 0.76 0.63 0.63 0.66 0.55 0.39
Total Debt (MM) $40,705 $34,392 $34,689 $33,320 $31,788 $3,130
Net Debt / EBITDA 6.14 4.7 9.0 6.37 4.97 0.47
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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