Navigating Northern Trust (NTRS) Stock – Key Investment Insights

Northern Trust logged a -4.5% change during today's afternoon session, and is now trading at a price of $79.91 per share.

Over the last year, Northern Trust logged a -2.7% change, with its stock price reaching a high of $89.25 and a low of $62.44. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -24.5%. AThe company's 50-day average price was $82.9. Northern Trust Corporation, a financial holding company, provides wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking solutions for corporations, institutions, families, and individuals worldwide. Based in Chicago, IL, the Large-Cap Finance company has 23,100 full time employees. Northern Trust has offered a 3.6% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Low Leverage Levels but a Declining EPS Growth Trend:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (M) $5,960 $6,073 $6,101 $6,464 $6,761 $6,774
Interest Income (M) $1,623 $1,678 $1,443 $1,383 $1,887 $1,982
Operating Margins 33% 32% 27% 31% 26% 22%
Net Margins 26% 25% 20% 24% 20% 16%
Net Income (M) $1,556 $1,492 $1,209 $1,545 $1,336 $1,107
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $17 $17 $500 $516 $554 $635
Diluted Shares (M) 224 216 209 209 209 208
Earnings Per Share $6.64 $6.63 $5.46 $7.14 $6.14 $5.08
EPS Growth n/a -0.15% -17.65% 30.77% -14.01% -17.26%
Avg. Price $88.68 $83.23 $77.39 $105.08 $106.83 $79.87
P/E Ratio 13.28 12.5 14.12 14.68 17.34 15.69
Free Cash Flow (M) $1,670 $2,434 $1,761 $1,260 $2,264 $2,509
CAPEX (M) $98 $158 $136 $96 $129 $116
EV / EBITDA 8.4 7.58 6.11 7.91 8.46 7.57
Total Debt (M) $1,112 $1,148 $1,189 $1,146 $2,066 $4,065
Net Debt / EBITDA -1.76 -1.69 -1.5 -0.76 -1.12 -0.35

Northern Trust's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Northern Trust has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 16.3, compared to an average of 12.38 for the Finance sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $6.91, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 12.0. The 0.6% compound average growth rate of Northern Trust's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of 28.58. This suggests that these shares are overvalued. In contrast, the market is likely undervaluing Northern Trust in terms of its equity because its P/B ratio is 1.49 while the sector average is 1.58. The company's shares are currently trading -1.3% below their Graham number.

Northern Trust Has an Analyst Consensus of Some Upside Potential:

The 13 analysts following Northern Trust have set target prices ranging from $85.0 to $101.0 per share, for an average of $90.77 with a hold rating. The company is trading -12.0% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Northern Trust has a very low short interest because 1.1% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 86.0% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.51%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 11% stake in the company is worth $1,868,076,772.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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