KR

Don't Judge Kroger on Technicals Alone - Check Its Fundamentals!

Now trading at a price of $52.03, Kroger has moved 1.9% so far today.

Kroger returned gains of 11.4% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $58.34 and a low of $42.1. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -13.3%. The company's 50-day average price was $54.08. The Kroger Co. operates as a food and drug retailer in the United States. Based in Cincinnati, OH, the Large-Cap Consumer Staples company has 414,000 full time employees. Kroger has offered a 2.2% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

The Firm Has a Declining EPS Growth Trend:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (M) $121,852 $122,286 $132,498 $137,888 $148,258 $150,039
Gross Margins 22% 22% 23% 22% 21% 22%
Net Margins 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1%
Net Income (M) $3,110 $1,659 $2,585 $1,655 $2,244 $2,164
Net Interest Expense (M) $620 $603 $544 $571 $535 $441
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $2,465 $2,649 $2,747 $2,824 $2,965 $3,125
Diluted Shares (M) 807 780 752 724 725 725
Earnings Per Share $3.85 $2.13 $3.44 $2.29 $3.1 $2.98
EPS Growth n/a -44.68% 61.5% -33.43% 35.37% -3.87%
Avg. Price $25.01 $23.3 $30.3 $37.5 $50.02 $52.0
P/E Ratio 6.41 10.94 8.81 16.38 15.98 17.33
Free Cash Flow (M) $1,197 $1,536 $3,950 $3,576 $1,420 $2,884
CAPEX (M) $2,967 $3,128 $2,865 $2,614 $3,078 $3,904
EV / EBITDA 6.94 5.83 6.09 6.04 6.51 7.4
Total Debt (M) $15,835 $12,629 $13,149 $11,869 $12,005 $10,385
Net Debt / EBITDA 3.01 2.13 1.97 1.74 1.45 1.37
Current Ratio 0.78 0.83 0.8 0.76 0.8 0.81

Kroger has growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business, generally positive cash flows, and healthy leverage levels. However, Kroger has slimmer gross margins than its peers, declining EPS growth, and not enough current assets to cover current liabilities because its current ratio is 0.81.

an Increase in Expected Earnings Improves Its Value Outlook but Trades Above Its Graham Number:

Kroger has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 18.3, compared to an average of 22.64 for the Consumer Staples sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $4.55, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 11.9. The 2.4% compound average growth rate of Kroger's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of 7.56. This suggests that these shares are overvalued. Furthermore, Kroger is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 4.22 is higher than the sector average of 2.79. The company's shares are currently trading 58.8% below their Graham number.

There's an Analyst Consensus of Some Upside Potential for Kroger:

The 17 analysts following Kroger have set target prices ranging from $48.0 to $70.0 per share, for an average of $58.3 with a buy rating. The company is trading -10.8% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Kroger has an average amount of shares sold short because 2.6% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 75.5% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 7.56%, suggesting a large amount of insider shareholders. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 11% stake in the company is worth $4,202,317,500.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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