Exact Sciences Stock Soaring – A Risky Investment?

One of Wall Street's biggest winners of the day is Exact Sciences, a medical specialities company whose shares have climbed 8.9% to a price of $53.96 -- 23.07% below its average analyst target price of $70.14.

The average analyst rating for the stock is buy. EXAS may have outstripped the S&P 500 index by 9.0% so far today, but it has lagged behind the index by 53.8% over the last year, returning -23.9%.

Exact Sciences Corporation provides cancer screening and diagnostic test products in the United States and internationally. The company is categorized within the healthcare sector. The catalysts that drive valuations in this sector are complex. From demographics, regulations, scientific breakthroughs, to the emergence of new diseases, healthcare companies see their prices swing on the basis of a variety of factors.

Exact Sciences does not publish either its forward or trailing P/E ratios because their values are negative -- meaning that each share of stock represents a net earnings loss. But we can calculate these P/E ratios anyways using the stocks forward and trailing (EPS) values of $-0.34 and $-1.16. We can see that EXAS has a forward P/E ratio of -158.7 and a trailing P/E ratio of -46.5.

The P/E ratio is the company's share price divided by its earnings per share. In other words, it represents how much investors are willing to spend for each dollar of the company's earnings (revenues minus the cost of goods sold, taxes, and overhead). As of the third quarter of 2024, the health care sector has an average P/E ratio of 26.07, and the average for the S&P 500 is 29.3.

Exact Sciences's financial viability can also be assessed through a review of its free cash flow trends. Free cash flow refers to the company's operating cash flows minus its capital expenditures, which are expenses related to the maintenance of fixed assets such as land, infrastructure, and equipment. Over the last four years, the trends have been as follows:

Date Reported Cash Flow from Operations ($ k) Capital expenditures ($ k) Free Cash Flow ($ k) YoY Growth (%)
2023 156,119 124,190 31,929 107.29
2022 -223,559 214,462 -438,021 -84.04
2021 -102,236 135,766 -238,002 -433.32
2020 136,482 65,078 71,404 125.11
2019 -111,655 172,654 -284,309 -29.8
2018 -68,940 150,093 -219,033
  • Average free cash flow: $-179338666.7
  • Average free cash flown growth rate: 2.8 %
  • Coefficient of variability (lower numbers indicating more stability): 0.0 %

Free cash flow represents the amount of money that is available for reinvesting in the business, or for paying out to investors in the form of a dividend. With a positive cash flow as of the last fiscal year, EXAS is in a position to do either -- which can encourage more investors to place their capital in the company.

Another valuation metric for analyzing a stock is its Price to Book (P/B) Ratio, which consists in its share price divided by its book value per share. The book value refers to the present liquidation value of the company, as if it sold all of its assets and paid off all debts.

Exact Sciences has a P/B ratio of 3.11. This indicates that the market value of the company exceeds its book value by a factor of more than 3, but is still below the average P/B ratio of the Health Care sector, which stood at 3.53 as of the third quarter of 2024.

Exact Sciences is by most measures overvalued because it has a negative P/E ratio., an average P/B ratio, and negative cash flows with a flat trend. The stock has poor growth indicators because it has a no PEG ratio and weak operating margins with a positive growth rate. We hope you enjoyed this overview of EXAS's fundamentals.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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