Analyzing the Performance of BABA Stock

Now trading at a price of $83.13, Alibaba has moved -2.9% so far today.

Alibaba returned gains of 7.2% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $117.82 and a low of $66.63. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -24.0%. The company's 50-day average price was $98.42. Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. Based in Hangzhou, China, the Large-Cap Consumer Discretionary company has 198,162 full time employees. Alibaba has not offered a dividend during the last year.

Generally Positive Cash Flows but a Declining EPS Growth Trend:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (M) $56,152 $45,483 $109,480 $134,567 $126,491 $130,350
Operating Margins 15% 16% 13% 8% 12% 12%
Net Margins 23% 25% 21% 7% 8% 9%
Net Income (M) $13,095 $11,254 $22,983 $9,820 $10,598 $11,081
Net Interest Expense (M) $773 $328 $683 $774 $862 $1,101
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $14,818 $1,432 $3,284 $3,195 $2,787 $2,474
Diluted Shares (M) 21,084 21,943 21,982 21,787 21,114 20,359
Earnings Per Share $4.97 $4.1 $8.36 $3.61 $4.02 $4.35
EPS Growth n/a -17.51% 103.9% -56.82% 11.36% 8.21%
Free Cash Flow (M) $17,678 $11,657 $39,406 $26,906 $33,133 $25,289
CAPEX (M) $4,818 $3,719 $4,028 $4,386 $4,047 n/a
Current Ratio 1.3 1.99 1.7 1.66 1.81 1.79

an Exceptionally Low P/B Ratio but Priced at a Premium:

Alibaba has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 20.3, compared to an average of 22.6 for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $9.87, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 10.0. The 10.3% compound average growth rate of Alibaba's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of 1.97. This suggests that these shares are overvalued. In contrast, the market is likely undervaluing Alibaba in terms of its equity because its P/B ratio is 0.21 while the sector average is 3.19. The company's shares are currently trading 224.3% below their Graham number.

Analysts Give Alibaba an Average Rating of Buy:

The 43 analysts following Alibaba have set target prices ranging from $612.952 to $1054.519 per share, for an average of $870.9 with a buy rating. The company is trading -90.5% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of strong upside potential.

Alibaba has an average amount of shares sold short because 3.1% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 16.1% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.01%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Primecap Management Company, whose 1% stake in the company is worth $1,822,006,037.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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