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LYB

Why Analysts Are Hesitant to Recommend LyondellBasell Industries (LYB)

LyondellBasell Industries may be undervalued with poor growth indicators, but the 21 analysts following the company give it an rating of hold. Their target prices range from $85.0 to $118.21 per share, for an average of $100.77. At today's price of $77.75, LyondellBasell Industries is trading -22.85% away from its average target price, suggesting there is an analyst consensus of strong upside potential for the stock.

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, the Netherlands, and internationally. Based in Houston, TX, the Large-Cap Industrials company has 20,000 full time employees. LyondellBasell Industries has provided a 6.4% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

LyondellBasell Industries has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 11.8, compared to an average of 25.42 for the Industrials sector. Considering its EPS guidance of $8.61, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 9.0.

On the other hand, the market is potentially undervaluing LyondellBasell Industries in terms of its book value because its P/B ratio is 1.84. In comparison, the sector average P/B ratio is 3.2. The company's shares are currently 2.4% below their Graham number, indicating that its shares have a margin of safety.

If analysts are giving the stock a bad rating, it's likely that they are looking beyond simple valaution metrics and attempting to forecast the company's growth potential. For example, LyondellBasell Industries has narrow margins as you can see in the financial summary below.

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (M) $39,004 $34,727 $27,753 $46,173 $50,451 $41,107
Operating Margins 13% 12% 6% 15% 10% 7%
Net Margins 12% 10% 5% 12% 8% 5%
Net Income (M) $4,690 $3,397 $1,427 $5,617 $3,889 $2,121
Net Interest Expense (M) $360 $347 $526 $519 $287 $477
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $1,241 $1,312 $1,385 $1,393 $1,267 $1,534
Diluted Shares (M) 395 372 334 334 328 326
Earnings Per Share $12.01 $9.58 $4.24 $16.75 $11.81 $6.46
EPS Growth n/a -20.23% -55.74% 295.05% -29.49% -45.3%
Avg. Price $66.92 $66.97 $58.44 $85.93 $91.27 $78.5
P/E Ratio 5.56 6.98 13.78 5.12 7.71 12.11
Free Cash Flow (M) $3,366 $2,267 $1,457 $5,736 $4,229 $3,411
CAPEX (M) $2,105 $2,694 $1,947 $1,959 $1,890 $1,531
EV / EBITDA 5.48 6.64 11.44 4.76 6.07 7.12
Total Debt (M) $9,382 $12,059 $15,949 $11,608 $10,889 $10,450
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.4 2.06 4.82 1.24 1.37 1.54
Current Ratio 1.92 1.83 2.11 1.69 1.75 1.84
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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