Welltower -- The Essentials

Welltower logged a -0.0% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $125.54 per share.

Welltower returned gains of 39.6% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $140.75 and a low of $85.4. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 15.9%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $132.84. Welltower Inc. (NYSE:WELL), a real estate investment trust ("REIT") and S&P 500 company headquartered in Toledo, Ohio, is driving the transformation of health care infrastructure. Based in Toledo, OH, the Large-Cap Real Estate company has 533 full time employees. Welltower has offered a 2.0% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Increasing Revenues but Narrowing Margins:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (M) $4,700 $5,121 $4,606 $4,742 $5,861 $6,638
Operating Margins 9% 11% -1% 4% 3% 5%
Net Margins 18% 26% 23% 8% 3% 5%
Net Income (M) $830 $1,330 $1,039 $374 $161 $358
Net Interest Expense (M) $527 $556 $514 $490 $530 $608
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $950 $1,027 $1,038 $1,038 $1,310 $1,401
Diluted Shares (M) 375 404 417 427 465 519
Earnings Per Share $2.02 $3.05 $2.33 $0.78 $0.3 $0.66
EPS Growth n/a 50.99% -23.61% -66.52% -61.54% 120.0%
Avg. Price $50.66 $70.88 $53.9 $73.79 $84.27 $127.5
P/E Ratio 24.96 23.09 22.84 93.41 271.84 193.18
Free Cash Flow (M) $1,318 $1,207 $1,120 $993 $853 $1,084
CAPEX (M) $266 $329 $245 $283 $476 $518
EV / EBITDA 22.42 25.81 22.79 36.78 34.9 43.57
Total Debt (M) $12,186 $13,421 $2,378 $13,910 $14,714 $15,736
Net Debt / EBITDA 8.71 8.37 0.83 11.29 9.49 7.85

Welltower has weak operating margins with a negative growth trend, declining EPS growth, and a highly leveraged balance sheet. On the other hand, the company has growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business working in its favor. Furthermore, Welltower has positive cash flows.

Welltower's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Welltower has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 84.6, compared to an average of 31.12 for the Real Estate sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $1.82, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 73.0. The -1.5% compound average growth rate of Welltower's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of -57.23. This indicates that its shares are overvalued.Furthermore, Welltower is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 2.56 is higher than the sector average of 2.15. The company's shares are currently trading 365.5% below their Graham number.

There's an Analyst Consensus of Some Upside Potential for Welltower:

The 19 analysts following Welltower have set target prices ranging from $115.0 to $190.0 per share, for an average of $142.26 with a buy rating. The company is trading -11.8% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Welltower has an average amount of shares sold short because 2.2% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 99.0% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.04%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 15% stake in the company is worth $12,012,070,773.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

IN FOCUS