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AFRM Stock Analysis – Key Insights for Investors

Now trading at a price of $68.55, Affirm has moved -8.1% so far today.

Affirm returned gains of 83.5% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $82.53 and a low of $22.25. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 64.9%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $65.03. Affirm Holdings, Inc. operates payment network in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Based in San Francisco, CA, the Large-Cap Finance company has 2,006 full time employees. Affirm has not offered a dividend during the last year.

Overview of Financial Statements:

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue (M) $264 $510 $870 $1,349 $1,588 $2,323
Interest Income (M) $26 $32 $53 $70 $183 n/a
Net Margins -46% -22% -51% -52% -62% 52%
Net Income (M) -$120 -$113 -$441 -$707 -$985 $1,204
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $5 $9 $20 $53 $135 $169
Diluted Shares (M) 48 71 282 294 308 313
Earnings Per Share -$2.84 -$2.63 -$2.94 -$2.51 -$3.34 -$1.67
EPS Growth n/a 7.39% -11.79% 14.63% -33.07% 50.0%
Free Cash Flow (M) -$107 -$31 -$213 -$248 -$109 n/a
CAPEX (M) $19 $2 $20 $86 $121 n/a
Total Debt (M) n/a $818 $681 $673 $1,765 $1,795

Affirm does not have a meaningful trailing P/E ratio since its earnings per share are currently in the red. Based on its EPS guidance of $0.47, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 138.4. In comparison, the average P/E ratio for the Finance sector is 20.04. Furthermore, Affirm is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 7.77 is higher than the sector average of 1.86.

Analysts Give Affirm an Average Rating of Buy:

The 18 analysts following Affirm have set target prices ranging from $26.6 to $90.0 per share, for an average of $73.65 with a buy rating. The company is trading -6.9% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Affirm has an average amount of shares sold short because 5.6% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 78.7% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 4.81%, suggesting a large amount of insider shareholders. The largest shareholder is Capital Research Global Investors, whose 9% stake in the company is worth $1,663,324,419.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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