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Key Considerations Before Investing in SMCI

Super Micro Computer logged a -8.3% change during today's afternoon session, and is now trading at a price of $47.31 per share.

Super Micro Computer returned losses of -39.4% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $122.9 and a low of $17.25. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -57.2%. AThe company's 50-day average price was $35.8. Super Micro Computer, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and manufactures high performance server and storage solutions based on modular and open architecture in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The Large-Cap Technology company is based in San Jose, CA. Super Micro Computer has not offered a dividend during the last year.

Strong Revenue Growth but Slimmer Gross Margins than the Industry Average of 36.0%:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (M) $3,360 $3,500 $3,339 $3,557 $5,196 $7,123
Gross Margins 13% 14% 16% 15% 15% 18%
Net Margins 1% 2% 3% 3% 5% 9%
Net Income (M) $46 $72 $84 $112 $285 $640
Net Interest Expense (M) $6 $7 $2 $2 $6 $10
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $22 $24 $28 $28 $32 $35
Diluted Shares (M) 51 52 54 54 56 58
Earnings Per Share $0.89 $1.39 $1.6 $2.09 $5.32 $11.43
EPS Growth n/a 56.18% 15.11% 30.62% 154.55% 114.85%
Avg. Price $19.32 $19.52 $26.5 $36.93 $43.34 n/a
P/E Ratio 20.55 13.56 16.06 16.86 7.82 nan
Free Cash Flow (M) $60 $238 -$75 $65 -$486 $627
CAPEX (M) $25 $25 $44 $58 $45 $37
EV / EBITDA 7.89 5.67 9.8 11.99 6.97 nan
Total Debt (M) $48 $24 $44 $203 $598 $290
Net Debt / EBITDA -0.53 -2.35 -2.38 -0.3 0.8 -0.55
Current Ratio 2.1 2.26 2.29 1.91 2.89 2.43

Super Micro Computer benefits from rapidly growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business, exceptional EPS growth, and an excellent current ratio of 2.43. The company's financial statements show positive cash flows and healthy leverage levels. However, the firm has slimmer gross margins than its peers.

Potentially Undervalued but Has an Elevated P/B Ratio:

Super Micro Computer has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 17.8, compared to an average of 30.01 for the Technology sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $4.24, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 8.4. According to the 25.0% compound average growth rate of Super Micro Computer's historical and projected earnings per share, the company's PEG ratio is 0.71. Taking the weighted average of the company's EPS CAGR and the broader market's 5-year projected EPS growth rate, we obtain a normalized growth rate of 15.3%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 1.16. This implies that the shares are fairly valued. In contrast, Super Micro Computer is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 5.08 is higher than the sector average of 3.91. The company's shares are currently trading -59.5% above their Graham number. Ultimately, Super Micro Computer's strong cash flows, decent earnings multiple, and healthy debt levels factor towards it being fairly valued, its elevated P/B ratio notwithstanding.

Analysts Give Super Micro Computer an Average Rating of Hold:

The 11 analysts following Super Micro Computer have set target prices ranging from $15.0 to $93.0 per share, for an average of $47.88 with a hold rating. The company is trading -1.2% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Super Micro Computer has an unusually large proportion of its shares sold short because 20.5% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 52.6% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 14.52%, suggesting a large amount of insider shareholders. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 11% stake in the company is worth $2,932,864,928.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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