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Analyzing Market Trends of WELL Stock

Welltower logged a 0.3% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $150.72 per share.

Welltower returned gains of 55.7% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $158.55 and a low of $95.86. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 46.0%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $148.58. Welltower Inc. (NYSE: WELL) an S&P 500 company, is the world's preeminent residential wellness and healthcare infrastructure company. Based in Toledo, OH, the Large-Cap Real Estate company has 685 full time employees. Welltower has offered a 1.8% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Increasing Revenues but Narrowing Margins:

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue (M) $5,121 $4,606 $4,742 $5,861 $6,638 $7,991
Operating Margins 11% -1% 4% 3% 5% 7%
Net Margins 26% 23% 8% 3% 5% 12%
Net Income (M) $1,330 $1,039 $374 $161 $358 $973
Net Interest Expense (M) $556 $514 $490 $530 $608 $574
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $1,027 $1,038 $1,038 $1,310 $1,401 $1,632
Diluted Shares (M) 404 417 427 465 519 609
Earnings Per Share $3.05 $2.33 $0.78 $0.3 $0.66 $1.57
EPS Growth n/a -23.61% -66.52% -61.54% 120.0% 137.88%
Avg. Price $70.88 $53.9 $73.79 $84.27 n/a $150.33
P/E Ratio 23.09 22.84 93.41 271.84 nan 95.15
Free Cash Flow (M) $1,207 $1,120 $993 $853 $1,084 $1,399
CAPEX (M) $329 $245 $283 $476 $518 $858
EV / EBITDA 25.81 22.79 36.78 34.9 nan 45.22
Total Debt (M) $13,421 $2,378 $13,910 $14,714 $15,736 $15,500
Net Debt / EBITDA 8.37 0.83 11.29 9.49 7.85 5.56

Welltower has weak operating margins with a negative growth trend, declining EPS growth, and a highly leveraged balance sheet. On the other hand, the company benefits from rapidly growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business and generally positive cash flows.

Welltower's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Welltower has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 92.9, compared to an average of 27.31 for the Real Estate sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $1.82, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 81.6. The -7.1% compound average growth rate of Welltower's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of -13.06. This indicates that its shares are overvalued.Furthermore, Welltower is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 2.89 is higher than the sector average of 1.94. The company's shares are currently trading 250.0% below their Graham number. In conclusion, Welltower's impressive cash flow trend, decent P/B ratio, and reasonable use of leverage demonstrate that the company may still be fairly valued — despite its elevated earnings multiple.

Welltower Has an Average Rating of Buy:

The 20 analysts following Welltower have set target prices ranging from $134.0 to $242.0 per share, for an average of $165.2 with a buy rating. The company is trading -8.8% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Welltower has a very low short interest because 1.5% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 96.1% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.04%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 15% stake in the company is worth $14,815,061,405.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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