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Exploring the Lack of Analyst Recommendations for Tesla (TSLA)

Tesla may be undervalued with strong growth indicators, but the 40 analysts following the company give it an rating of hold. Their target prices range from $115.0 to $500.0 per share, for an average of $306.32. At today's price of $320.84, Tesla is trading 4.74% away from its average target price, suggesting there is an analyst consensus of little upside potential for the stock.

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. Based in Austin, TX, the Large-Cap Consumer Discretionary company has 125,665 full time employees. Tesla has not offered a regular dividend during the last year.

Tesla has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 188.7, compared to an average of 20.93 for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Considering its EPS guidance of $3.24, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 99.0.

Tesla is also overpriced compared to its book value, since its P/B ratio of 13.38 is higher than the sector average of 2.93. The company's shares are currently 939.7% below their Graham number, indicating that its shares have a margin of safety.

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue (M) $24,578 $31,536 $53,823 $81,462 $96,773 $97,690
Gross Margins 17% 21% 25% 26% 18% 18%
Net Margins -4% 2% 10% 15% 15% 7%
Net Income (M) -$862 $721 $5,519 $12,556 $14,997 $7,091
Net Interest Expense (M) $685 $748 $371 $191 $156 $277
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $1,370 $1,570 $1,910 $2,420 $3,330 $4,120
Diluted Shares (M) 2,661 3,249 3,386 3,475 3,485 3,498
Earnings Per Share -$0.32 $0.22 $1.63 $3.61 $4.3 $2.03
EPS Growth n/a 168.75% 640.91% 121.47% 19.11% -52.79%
Avg. Price $18.24 $96.67 $260.0 $290.09 $248.48 $319.91
P/E Ratio -55.27 358.04 135.42 71.63 52.42 143.46
Free Cash Flow (M) $1,078 $2,786 $5,015 $7,566 $4,358 $3,584
CAPEX (M) $1,327 $3,157 $6,482 $7,158 $8,898 $11,339
EV / EBITDA 40.58 71.21 87.33 55.06 63.37 90.26
Total Debt (M) $11,801 $10,220 $5,342 $2,045 $4,657 $7,878
Net Debt / EBITDA 4.25 -2.57 -1.45 -0.88 -0.96 -0.74
Current Ratio 1.13 1.88 1.38 1.53 1.73 2.02
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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