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Balancing Technical Analysis and Fundamentals in Assessing Exact Sciences

Exact Sciences logged a -0.7% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $52.06 per share.

Exact Sciences returned losses of -22.7% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $72.83 and a low of $38.81. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -39.0%. AThe company's 50-day average price was $48.93. Exact Sciences Corporation provides cancer screening and diagnostic test products in the United States and internationally. Based in Madison, WI, the Mid-Cap Health Care company has 6,900 full time employees. Exact Sciences has not offered a dividend during the last year.

Increasing Revenues but Narrowing Margins:

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue (M) $876 $1,491 $1,767 $2,084 $2,500 $2,759
Net Margins -24% -55% -34% -30% -8% -37%
Net Income (M) -$213 -$824 -$596 -$624 -$204 -$1,029
Net Interest Expense (M) -$62 $68 $19 $20 $19 $16
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $16 $93 $95 $97 $92 $120
Diluted Shares (M) 143 156 172 176 181 185
Earnings Per Share -$1.62 -$5.45 -$3.48 -$3.54 -$1.13 -$5.59
EPS Growth n/a -236.42% 36.15% -1.72% 68.08% -394.69%
Avg. Price $97.06 $92.23 $112.2 $62.55 $73.98 $52.41
P/E Ratio -59.91 -16.92 -32.24 -17.67 -65.47 -9.38
Free Cash Flow (M) -$284 $71 -$238 -$438 $32 $75
CAPEX (M) $173 $65 $136 $214 $124 $136
Current Ratio 2.34 3.47 2.76 2.38 2.32 2.15

Exact Sciences does not have a meaningful trailing P/E ratio since its earnings per share are negative. Its forward EPS guidance is negative too, at $-0.34. The average P/E ratio for the Health Care sector is 22.94. Furthermore, Exact Sciences is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 3.99 is higher than the sector average of 3.19. In conclusion, Exact Sciences's impressive cash flow trend, decent P/B ratio, and reasonable use of leverage demonstrate that the company may still be fairly valued — despite its elevated earnings multiple.

There's an Analyst Consensus of Some Upside Potential for Exact Sciences:

The 23 analysts following Exact Sciences have set target prices ranging from $50.0 to $85.0 per share, for an average of $64.01 with a buy rating. The company is trading -18.7% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Exact Sciences has an average amount of shares sold short because 4.4% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 95.6% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.91%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is FMR, LLC, whose 14% stake in the company is worth $1,400,014,007.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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