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Exploring Southwest Airlines Stock Performance

It's been a great afternoon session for Southwest Airlines investors, who saw their shares rise 1.9% to a price of $32.53 per share. At these higher prices, is the company still fairly valued? If you are thinking about investing, make sure to check the company's fundamentals before making a decision.

a Lower P/B Ratio Than Its Sector Average but Trading Above Its Fair Price:

Southwest Airlines Co. operates as a passenger airline company that provides scheduled air transportation services in the United States and near-international markets. The company belongs to the Consumer Discretionary sector, which has an average price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.93 and an average price to book (P/B) ratio of 2.93. In contrast, Southwest Airlines has a trailing 12 month P/E ratio of 50.8 and a P/B ratio of 2.14.

Southwest Airlines has moved 9.8% over the last year compared to 15.3% for the S&P 500 — a difference of -5.5%. Southwest Airlines has a 52 week high of $37.96 and a 52 week low of $23.82.

Increasing Revenues but Narrowing Margins:

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue (M) $22,428 $9,048 $15,790 $23,814 $26,091 $27,483
Operating Margins 13% -42% 11% 4% 1% 1%
Net Margins 10% -34% 6% 2% 2% 2%
Net Income (M) $2,300 -$3,074 $977 $539 $465 $465
Net Interest Expense (M) $118 $349 $467 $340 $259 $220
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $1,219 $1,255 $1,272 $1,351 $1,522 $1,657
Diluted Shares (M) 539 565 609 642 640 643
Earnings Per Share $4.27 -$5.44 $1.61 $0.87 $0.76 $0.76
EPS Growth n/a -227.4% 129.6% -45.96% -12.64% 0.0%
Avg. Price $51.68 $39.35 $51.8 $42.54 $28.88 $32.53
P/E Ratio 12.07 -7.23 31.39 46.75 37.03 41.71
Free Cash Flow (M) $2,960 -$1,642 $1,817 -$134 -$356 -$1,592
CAPEX (M) $1,027 $515 $505 $3,924 $3,520 $2,054
EV / EBITDA 7.11 -11.52 12.92 13.43 13.65 11.96
Total Debt (M) $3,692 $20,222 $20,548 $16,092 $15,956 $11,766
Net Debt / EBITDA 0.27 -3.58 2.7 2.79 3.82 2.15
Current Ratio 0.67 2.02 1.97 1.43 1.14 0.92

Southwest Airlines's financial statements include several red flags such as weak operating margins with a negative growth trend, declining EPS growth, and positive cash flows. Additionally, the firm has not enough current assets to cover current liabilities because its current ratio is 0.92. On the other hand, the company benefits from growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business and healthy leverage levels.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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