During today's morning trading session, Seagate Technology took the market by storm, rocketing to $232.95 per share despite it now being above its mean target price of $199.35. This 2.0% movement implies there may not be much more room for upwards movement for the stock -- if its analysts are to be believed. They are giving the Electronics & Computer Distribution stock on average rating of buy, with target prices ranging from 80.0 to 280.0 dollars per share.
For the greater market's outlook on the stock, we can use Seagate Technology's short interest as a proxy. The short interest represents the proportion of the float's shares that are tied to short positions, meaning that the investor believes the stock will decline in the future. Here, the stock's short interest is 9.2% which means the outlook is split.
Short selling involves borrowing shares and then selling them at current market prices. In the successful version of the strategy, the shares are purchased at a lower price at some time in the future. The investor then returns the shares to the lender, and keeps the profit made on the sell/buy transaction.
One way to get an idea of the market sentiment on a stock is to check its rate of institutional ownership. In the case of Seagate Technology, institutional investors own 95.9% of the shares. This would indicate a positive sentiment towards the stock among institutions. What does this really tell us?
Institutional investors such as hedge funds, investment firms, and wealth managers devote significant resources to identifying good investments. If they have decided to invest in STX, it probably means they believe it is a solid investment choice. But it could also mean they are buying up shares in an effort to acquire the company or get seats on the board of directors. Also bear in mind that institutions are fallible (just maybe not quite as fallible as the average retail investor), so they may simply be wrong when they think they've found a good stock.
In conclusion, we see negative market sentiment regarding Seagate Technology because of an analyst belief that shares are overpriced, a buy rating, an above average percentage of its shares sold short, and a significant number of institutional investors. At Market Inference, we believe that any investment decision should be preceded by an in-depth analysis of the company's fundamental values and a comparison with similar stocks.
Here's a snapshot of some important facts to keep in mind about STX:
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The stock has trailing 12 month earnings per share (EPS) of $7.13
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Seagate Technology has a trailing 12 month Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.7 compared to the S&P 500 average of 29.3
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Seagate Technology is a Technology company, and the sector average P/E and P/B ratios are 30.44 and 4.19 respectively
