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Short Report on HDFC Bank Stock

HDFC Bank logged a -0.1% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $36.7 per share.

HDFC Bank returned gains of 15.7% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $39.8 and a low of $28.89. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 1.9%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $35.59. HDFC Bank Limited provides banking and financial products and services to individuals and businesses in India, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Dubai. Based in Mumbai, India, the Large-Cap Finance company has 214,521 full time employees. HDFC Bank has not offered a dividend during the last year.

Strong Revenue Growth and a Positive EPS Growth Rate:

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue (M) $8,942 $10,698 $11,763 $13,763 $22,245 $25,636
Interest Income (M) $7,873 $9,348 $9,870 $11,120 $14,975 $16,440
Operating Margins 54% 56% 57% 59% 38% 39%
Net Margins 39% 42% 43% 44% 34% 31%
Net Income (M) $3,452 $4,457 $5,088 $6,028 $7,471 $7,884
Diluted Shares (M) 5,506 5,523 5,563 5,587 7,107 7,659
Earnings Per Share $0.62 $0.8 $0.91 $1.07 $1.05 $1.04
EPS Growth n/a 29.03% 13.75% 17.58% -1.87% -0.95%
Avg. Price $55.32 $49.86 $71.36 $58.89 $67.11 $36.74
P/E Ratio 87.81 61.56 77.57 54.53 63.31 34.99
Free Cash Flow (M) $2,028 $12,360 $7,311 $5,275 $11,621 $13,218
CAPEX (M) $243 $244 $347 $531 $646 $777
Total Debt (M) $13,616 $16,062 $20,487 $24,996 $79,779 $68,666

HDFC Bank has rapidly growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business, generally positive cash flows, and positive EPS growth. Furthermore, HDFC Bank has decent net margins with a stable trend.

an Exceptionally Low P/B Ratio but Trading Above Its Fair Price:

HDFC Bank has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 23.7, compared to an average of 15.92 for the Finance sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $2.98, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 11.9. According to the 25.1% compound average growth rate of HDFC Bank's historical and projected earnings per share, the company's PEG ratio is 0.94. Taking the weighted average of the company's EPS CAGR and the broader market's 5-year projected EPS growth rate, we obtain a normalized growth rate of 15.4%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 1.55. This suggests that these shares are overvalued. In contrast, the market is likely undervaluing HDFC Bank in terms of its equity because its P/B ratio is 0.11 while the sector average is 1.78. The company's shares are currently trading 121.5% below their Graham number.

HDFC Bank Has an Average Rating of Buy:

The 4 analysts following HDFC Bank have set target prices ranging from $38.9 to $47.0 per share, for an average of $44.1 with a buy rating. The company is trading -16.8% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

HDFC Bank has a very low short interest because 0.3% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 14.1% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.03%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is GQG Partners LLC, whose 1% stake in the company is worth $1,831,114,537.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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