PHM

Pulte (PHM) - Undervalued With Compelling Growth Factors?

Pulte shares moved -18.8% over the last 52 weeks, with a high of $58.09 and a low of $35.03. During this time, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by 1.1%. As of January 2022, the company's 50-day average price is $43.0. PulteGroup, Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the homebuilding business in the United States. The large-cap Consumer Cyclical company has 6,182 full time employees and is based in Atlanta, GA. Pulte has returned a 1.3% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

The Business Has Strong Margins and Positive EPS Growth:

2019-12-31 2020-12-31 2021-12-31
Revenue (MM) $10,213 $11,036 $13,927
Revenue Growth n/a 8.06% 26.19%
Gross Margins 23.5% 25.2% 27.2%
Gross Margins Growth n/a 7.23% 7.94%
Operating Margins 13.1% 15.8% 18.4%
Operating Margins Growth n/a 20.61% 16.46%
Earnings Per Share $3.66 $5.18 $7.43
EPS Growth n/a 41.53% 43.44%
Free Cash Flow (MM) $1,019 $1,726 $931
FCF Growth n/a 69.31% -46.05%
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$58 -$58 -$73
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.34 0.32 0.33

Pulte has Attractive P/E and P/B Ratios and Trades Below Its Graham Number:

Compared to the Consumer Cyclical sector's average of 24.11, Pulte has a trailing twelve month price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 4.6 and, based on its EPS guidance of 7.26, an expected P/E ratio of 6.3.

The firm's price to earnings growth (PEG) is 0.49, which indicates that the company is undervalued in terms of its expected earnings growth.

Pulte is undervalued in terms of its assets because its price to book (P/B) ratio is 1.3 compared to its sector average of 3.11. As of the date of publication, the company's shares are trading -48.7% below their Graham number, implying there is a margin of safety for the stock. The Graham number is calculated according to the forumla:

√(22.5 * TTM earnings per share * book value per share) = √(22.5 * 9.8 * 35.771) = $88.81

Pulte Has an Average Rating of Buy and an Analyst Consensus of Some Upside Potential:

12 analysts are following Pulte and have set target prices ranging from $41 to $65 per share. On average, they have given the company a rating of buy. At the current price of $45.53, PHM is trading -13.96% away from its average analyst target price of $52.92 per share, implying an analyst consensus of some upside potential for the stock.

The company has an average amount of shares sold short since 5.1% of the company's shares are tied to short positions. Institutions own 94.0% of Pulte's shares, while the insider ownership rate stands at 0.69%. The biggest shareholder is the Vanguard Group, Inc. with a 12% stake in the company worth approximately $1,250,659,529.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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