Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) — Overpriced With Subpar Growth Factors

Amazon.com shares moved -32.9% over the last 52 weeks, with a high of $158.65 and a low of $81.43. During this time, the stock lagged the S&P 500 index by -27.0%. As of April 2023, the company's 50-day average price is $98.3. Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions through online and physical stores in North America and internationally. The large-cap Consumer Discretionary company has 1,541,000 full time employees and is based in Seattle, WA. Amazon.com has not offered any dividends in the last year.

Increasing Revenues but Narrowing Margins:

2019-12-31 2020-12-31 2021-12-31 2022-12-31
Revenue $280,522,000 $386,064,000 $469,822,000 $513,983,000
Gross Margins 13.8% 13.3% 14.1% 13.2%
Operating Margins 5.2% 5.9% 5.3% 2.4%
Net Income $11,588,000 $21,331,000 $33,364,000 -$2,722,000
Net Margins 4.13% 5.53% 7.1% -0.53%
Earnings Per Share $1.15 $2.09 $3.24 -$0.27
Diluted Shares 10,080,000 10,200,000 10,300,000 10,258,000
Free Cash Flow $21,653,000 $25,924,000 -$14,726,000 -$16,893,000
Capital Expenditures -$16,861,000 -$40,140,000 -$61,053,000 -$63,645,000
Net Current Assets -$66,854,000 -$95,058,000 -$120,724,000 -$169,841,000
Current Ratio 1.1 1.05 1.14 0.94
Long Term Debt $23,414,000 $31,816,000 $48,744,000 $67,150,000
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.32 0.84 1.09 2.31

Amazon.com has negative earnings for the current period, so its trailing twelve month P/E ratio is not meaningful. But based on its EPS guidance of $2.51, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 41.1. In contrast, the Consumer Discretionary sector's average P/E ratio is 22.33.Furthermore, Amazon.com is likely overvalued in terms of its book value, since its P/B ratio is 7.2 compared to its sector average of 3.12.

Amazon.com Has an Average Rating of Buy:

45 analysts are following Amazon.com and have set target prices ranging from $90.0 to $156.5 per share. On average, they have given the company a rating of buy. At the current price of $98.3, AMZN is trading -26.2% away from its average analyst target price of $133.14 per share, implying an analyst consensus of strong upside potential for the stock. The company has a very low short interest since 0.7% of the company's shares are tied to short positions. Institutions own 60.4% of Amazon.com's shares, while the insider ownership rate stands at 9.73%. which is a large amount of insider shareholders. The company's biggest shareholder is the Vanguard Group, Inc. with a 7% stake in the company worth $73,407,300,805.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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