Exxon Mobil – Essential Facts You Can't Miss

Exxon Mobil logged a 1.4% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $118.09 per share.

Exxon Mobil returned gains of 27.0% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $119.92 and a low of $83.89. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 11.0%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $107.93. Exxon Mobil Corporation engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in the United States and internationally. Based in Irving, TX, the large-cap Energy company has 62,000 full time employees. Exxon Mobil has offered a 3.1% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

The Business Runs With Low Leverage Levels:

2018-02-28 2019-02-27 2020-02-26 2021-02-24 2022-02-23 2023-02-22
Revenue (MM) $238,983 $279,332 $259,497 $179,770 $278,983 $402,217
Gross Margins 33.0% 31.0% 30.0% 31.0% 31.0% 32.0%
Operating Margins 18% 19% 18% -2% 20% 24%
Net Margins 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% -12.0% 8.0% 14.0%
Net Income (MM) $19,710 $20,840 $14,340 -$22,440 $23,040 $55,740
Net Interest Expense (MM) -$601 -$766 -$830 -$1,158 -$947 -$798
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$19,893 -$18,745 -$18,998 -$46,009 -$20,607 -$24,040
Earnings Per Share $4.63 $4.88 $3.36 -$5.25 $5.39 $13.04
EPS Growth n/a 5.4% -31.15% -256.25% 202.67% 141.93%
Diluted Shares (MM) 4,256 4,270 4,270 4,271 4,275 4,274
Free Cash Flow (MM) $45,468 $55,588 $54,077 $31,950 $60,205 $95,204
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$15,402 -$19,574 -$24,361 -$17,282 -$12,076 -$18,407
Net Current Assets (MM) -$107,057 -$99,695 -$113,607 -$123,727 -$104,086 -$68,963
Long Term Debt (MM) $24,406 $20,538 $26,342 $47,182 $43,428 $40,559
Net Debt / EBITDA 0.61 0.48 0.67 1.48 0.54 0.1

Exxon Mobil has weak revenue growth and a flat capital expenditure trend, average net margins with a stable trend, and irregular cash flows. In addition, we note just enough current assets to cover current liabilities. We also note that the company benefits from low leverage and a strong EPS growth trend. However, the firm has slimmer gross margins than its peers.

Exxon Mobil's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Exxon Mobil has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 8.6, compared to an average of 7.54 for the Energy sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $8.31, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 13.0. The company doesn't provide forward earnings guidance, and the compound average growth rate of its last 6 years of reported EPS is 18.0%. On this basis, Exxon Mobil's PEG ratio is 0.48. Using instead the 10.0% weighted average of Exxon Mobil's earnings CAGR and the broader market's anticipated 5-year EPS growth rate, the company's PEG ratio is 0.86, which implies that its shares may be underpriced. In contrast, Exxon Mobil is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 2.38 is higher than the sector average of 1.68. The company's shares are currently trading 0.2% below their Graham number. In conclusion, Exxon Mobil's impressive cash flow trend, decent P/B ratio, and reasonable use of leverage demonstrate that the company may still be fairly valued — despite its elevated earnings multiple.

Exxon Mobil Has an Average Rating of Buy:

The 21 analysts following Exxon Mobil have set target prices ranging from $97.64 to $135.77 per share, for an average of $114.48 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -5.7% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of little upside potential.

Exxon Mobil has a very low short interest because 0.9% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 60.7% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.06%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 10% stake in the company is worth $45,849,613,890.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.