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Deere & Company Investors, You Need to Know This

It hasn't been a great afternoon session for Deere & Company investors, who have watched their shares sink by -1.1% to a price of $383.26. Some of you might be wondering if it's time to buy the dip. If you are considering this, make sure to check the company's fundamentals first to determine if the shares are fairly valued at today's prices.

A Very Low P/E Ratio but Trades Above Its Graham Number:

Deere & Company manufactures and distributes various equipment worldwide. The company belongs to the Industrials sector, which has an average price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.49 and an average price to book (P/B) ratio of 3.78. In contrast, Deere & Company has a trailing 12 month P/E ratio of 11.4 and a P/B ratio of 4.79.

When we divideDeere & Company's P/E ratio by its expected five-year EPS growth rate, we obtain a PEG ratio of 0.81, which indicates that the market is undervaluing the company's projected growth (a PEG ratio of 1 indicates a fairly valued company). Your analysis of the stock shouldn't end here. Rather, a good PEG ratio should alert you that it may be worthwhile to take a closer look at the stock.

The Company May Be Profitable, but Its Balance Sheet Is Highly Leveraged:

2017-12-18 2018-12-17 2019-12-19 2020-12-17 2021-12-16 2022-12-15
Revenue (MM) $29,738 $37,358 $39,258 $35,540 $44,024 $52,577
Gross Margins 33.0% 32.0% 32.0% 33.0% 34.0% 33.0%
Operating Margins 14% 14% 14% 14% 20% 19%
Net Margins 7.0% 6.0% 8.0% 8.0% 14.0% 14.0%
Net Income (MM) $2,159 $2,368 $3,253 $2,751 $5,963 $7,131
Net Interest Expense (MM) -$900 -$1,204 -$1,466 -$1,247 -$993 -$1,062
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$1,716 -$1,927 -$2,019 -$2,118 -$2,050 -$1,895
Earnings Per Share $6.68 $7.23 $10.15 $8.69 $19.14 $22.71
EPS Growth n/a 8.23% 40.39% -14.38% 120.25% 18.65%
Diluted Shares (MM) 323 327 321 317 312 314
Free Cash Flow (MM) $1,354 $1,235 $2,884 $6,520 $6,480 $3,740
Capital Expenditures (MM) $846 $587 $528 $963 $1,246 $959
Net Current Assets (MM) -$8,098 -$10,423 -$10,826 -$9,566 -$5,723 -$4,198
Long Term Debt (MM) $25,891 $27,237 $30,229 $32,734 $32,888 $33,596
Net Debt / EBITDA 5.25 5.26 5.4 5.28 3.73 3.84

Deere & Company has weak revenue growth and a flat capital expenditure trend, irregular cash flows, and a decent current ratio. We also note that the company benefits from exceptional EPS growth and average operating margins with a positive growth rate. However, the firm suffers from slimmer gross margins than its peers and a highly leveraged balance sheet.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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