Take This Into Account Before Investing in PYPL

PayPal logged a -2.1% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $53.66 per share.

PayPal returned losses of -36.0% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $92.62 and a low of $53.44. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -50.0%. As of April 2023, the company's 50-day average price was $60.05. PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates a technology platform that enables digital payments on behalf of merchants and consumers worldwide. Based in San Jose, CA, the large-cap Consumer Discretionary company has 29,900 full time employees. PayPal has not offered a dividend during the last year.

The Business Has Operating Margins Consistently Higher Than the 9.03% industry Average:

2018-02-07 2019-02-07 2020-02-06 2021-02-05 2022-02-03 2023-02-10
Revenue (MM) $13,094 $15,451 $17,772 $21,454 $25,371 $27,518
Operating Margins 25% 24% 23% 24% 21% 20%
Net Margins 14.0% 13.0% 14.0% 20.0% 16.0% 9.0%
Net Income (MM) $1,795 $2,057 $2,459 $4,202 $4,169 $2,419
Earnings Per Share $1.47 $1.71 $2.07 $3.54 $3.51 $2.09
EPS Growth n/a 16.33% 21.05% 71.01% -0.85% -40.46%
Diluted Shares (MM) 1,221 1,203 1,188 1,187 1,187 1,158
Free Cash Flow (MM) $3,198 $6,300 $4,758 $6,965 $6,700 $6,514
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$667 -$820 -$687 -$746 -$903 -$701
Net Current Assets (MM) n/a n/a $4,091 $679 -$1,502 -$926
Long Term Debt (MM) n/a n/a $4,965 $8,939 $8,049 $10,417

PayPal has strong margins with a stable trend, healthy debt levels, and positive EPS growth. Furthermore, PayPal has weak revenue growth and a flat capital expenditure trend, irregular cash flows, and just enough current assets to cover current liabilities.

A Very Low P/E Ratio but Trades Above Its Graham Number:

PayPal has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 16.8, compared to an average of 22.33 for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $5.3, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 11.3. The company doesn't issue forward earnings guidance, and the compound average growth rate of its last 6 years of reported EPS is 6.0%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 2.78, which suggests that it is overpriced. In contrast, the market is likely undervaluing PayPal in terms of its equity because its P/B ratio is 3.01 while the sector average is 3.12. The company's shares are currently trading 87.0% above their Graham number.

PayPal Has an Analyst Consensus of Strong Upside Potential:

The 40 analysts following PayPal have set target prices ranging from $55.04 to $119.56 per share, for an average of $78.25 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -23.3% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of strong upside potential.

PayPal has a very low short interest because 1.7% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 75.8% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.21%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 8% stake in the company is worth $4,954,804,318.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

IN FOCUS