How Smart Investors Look at Etsy (ETSY).

Now trading at a price of $80.56, Etsy has moved -1.3% so far today.

Etsy returned losses of -38.0% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $149.91 and a low of $58.2. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -55.0%. As of April 2023, the company's 50-day average price was $66.97. Etsy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates two-sided online marketplaces that connect buyers and sellers in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Canada, Australia, France, and India. Based in Brooklyn, NY, the large-cap Consumer Discretionary company has 2,790 full time employees. Etsy has not offered a dividend during the last year.

Growing Revenues With Increasing Reinvestment in the Business:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (MM) $604 $818 $1,726 $2,329 $2,566 $2,713
Revenue Growth n/a 35.56% 110.86% 34.97% 10.18% 5.74%
Gross Margins 44% 44% 52% 48% 3% 41%
Operating Margins 12% 11% 25% 20% -26% 11%
Net Margins 13% 12% 21% 21% -27% 12%
Net Income (MM) $77 $96 $367 $498 -$694 $335
Net Interest Expense (MM) $22 $24 $42 $10 $11 $14
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) $27 $48 $58 $74 $97 $91
Earnings Per Share $0.61 $0.76 $2.69 $3.4 -$5.48 $2.6500000000000004
Diluted Shares (MM) 127 126 136 147 127 131
Free Cash Flow (MM) $198 $199 $678 $640 $673 $693
Capital Expenditures (MM) $1 $8 $1 $11 $10 $10

Etsy has growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business, exceptional EPS growth, and wider gross margins than its peer group. Furthermore, Etsy has average net margins with a stable trend and irregular cash flows.

The Market May Be Overvaluing Etsy's Earnings and Assets:

Etsy has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 27.1, compared to an average of 22.96 for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $2.74, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 24.4.

Etsy Has an Average Rating of Hold:

The 29 analysts following Etsy have set target prices ranging from $47.0 to $125.0 per share, for an average of $74.03 with a hold rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -9.5% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of little upside potential.

Etsy has an above average percentage of its shares sold short because 13.9% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 101.5% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.8%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 11% stake in the company is worth $1,104,483,906.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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