OXY

How Smart Investors Look at Occidental Petroleum (OXY).

Now trading at a price of $58.76, Occidental Petroleum has moved 2.7% so far today.

Occidental Petroleum returned losses of -9.4% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $67.93 and a low of $55.12. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -30.2%. As of April 2023, the company's 50-day average price was $61.19. Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States, the Middle East, North Africa, and Latin America. Based in Houston, TX, the large-cap Energy company has 11,973 full time employees. Occidental Petroleum has offered a 1.2% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Increasing Revenues but Narrowing Margins:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (MM) $15,560 $20,911 $17,809 $25,956 $36,634 $29,304
Revenue Growth n/a 34.39% -14.83% 45.75% 41.14% -20.01%
Operating Margins 34% 2% -88% 14% 39% 25%
Net Margins 27% -2% -76% 11% 36% 45%
Net Income (MM) $4,131 -$507 -$13,533 $2,790 $13,304 $13,304
Net Interest Expense (MM) $389 $1,066 $1,424 $1,614 $1,110 $958
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) $3,977 $6,140 $8,097 $8,447 $6,926 $6,961
Earnings Per Share $5.39 -$1.22 -$17.06 $1.58 $12.4 $4.59
EPS Growth n/a -122.63% -1298.36% 109.26% 684.81% -62.98%
Diluted Shares (MM) 763 810 919 959 1,002 876
Free Cash Flow (MM) $2,694 $1,008 $1,420 $7,564 $12,313 $10,564
Capital Expenditures (MM) $4,975 $6,367 $2,535 $2,870 $4,497 $6,246
Current Ratio 1.34 1.15 1.07 1.23 1.15 0.92
Total Debt (MM) $10,317 $38,639 $36,227 $29,702 $19,978 $19,990
Net Debt / EBITDA 0.79 5.48 -4.53 2.22 0.9 1.36

Occidental Petroleum has growing revenues and a flat capital expenditure trend, irregular cash flows, and healthy leverage. However, the firm suffers from weak operating margins with a negative growth trend and declining EPS growth.

Occidental Petroleum's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Occidental Petroleum has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 13.3, compared to an average of 8.53 for the Energy sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $4.5, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 13.6. The -2.5% compound average growth rate of Occidental Petroleum's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of -5.24. This indicates that its shares are overvalued.Furthermore, Occidental Petroleum is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 2.45 is higher than the sector average of 1.78. The company's shares are currently trading -4.3% below their Graham number. In conclusion, Occidental Petroleum's impressive cash flow trend, decent P/B ratio, and reasonable use of leverage demonstrate that the company may still be fairly valued — despite its elevated earnings multiple.

There's an Analyst Consensus of Some Upside Potential for Occidental Petroleum:

The 21 analysts following Occidental Petroleum have set target prices ranging from $60.0 to $85.0 per share, for an average of $69.86 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -12.4% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Occidental Petroleum has an above average percentage of its shares sold short because 9.1% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 80.0% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.28%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Berkshire Hathaway, Inc, whose 25% stake in the company is worth $13,169,830,945.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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