SPG

Insights on SPG Investment – Analysts' Perspectives

Simon Property returned gains of 47.0% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $157.82 and a low of $100.17. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 15.4%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $146.79. Simon is a real estate investment trust engaged in the ownership of premier shopping, dining, entertainment and mixed-use destinations and an S&P 100 company (Simon Property Group, NYSE: SPG). Our properties across North America, Europe and Asia provide community gathering places for millions of people every day and generate billions in annual sales. Based in Indianapolis, IN, the Large-Cap Real Estate company has 2,500 full time employees. Simon Property has not offered a dividend during the last year.

The Company May Be Profitable, but Its Balance Sheet Is Highly Leveraged:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (M) $5,645 $5,755 $4,608 $5,117 $5,291 $5,531
Operating Margins 52% 51% 43% 47% 49% 49%
Net Margins 50% 42% 28% 50% 46% 46%
Net Income (M) $2,822 $2,423 $1,277 $2,569 $2,452 $2,530
Net Interest Expense (M) $816 $789 $784 $796 $761 $831
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $1,282 $1,341 $1,318 $1,263 $1,227 $1,259
Diluted Shares (M) 320 308 317 329 327 327
Earnings Per Share $8.81 $7.87 $4.03 $7.82 $7.5 $7.73
EPS Growth n/a -10.67% -48.79% 94.04% -4.09% 3.07%
Avg. Price $127.56 $129.63 $67.49 $114.09 $117.21 $151.86
P/E Ratio 16.21 19.04 18.8 16.68 17.98 22.5
CAPEX (M) $782 $876 $484 $528 $650 $800
EV / EBITDA 15.12 14.94 14.11 16.94 16.49 18.64
Total Debt (M) $23,306 $24,163 $26,723 $25,321 $24,960 $24,917
Net Debt / EBITDA 5.42 5.52 7.82 6.74 6.39 6.1

Simon Property's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Simon Property has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 21.0, compared to an average of 25.55 for the Real Estate sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $6.18, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 23.8. The -4.9% compound average growth rate of Simon Property's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of -4.25. This indicates that its shares are overvalued.Furthermore, Simon Property is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 16.6 is higher than the sector average of 2.1.

Simon Property Has an Average Rating of Buy:

The 15 analysts following Simon Property have set target prices ranging from $135.0 to $180.0 per share, for an average of $155.53 with a buy rating. The company is trading -2.4% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Simon Property has a very low short interest because 1.6% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 91.4% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.93%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 14% stake in the company is worth $6,941,141,737.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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