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Unveiling Insights – Analyst Perspectives on eBay

eBay logged a 0.5% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $95.74 per share.

eBay returned gains of 71.1% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $95.82 and a low of $54.8. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 53.8%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $79.72. eBay Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Germany, and internationally. Based in San Jose, CA, the Large-Cap Consumer Discretionary company has 11,500 full time employees. eBay has offered a 1.2% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

EPS Growth Achieved Primarily Through Stock Repurchases:

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Revenue (M) $7,429 $8,894 $10,420 $9,795 $10,112 $10,283
Gross Margins 79% 80% 75% 73% 72% 72%
Net Margins 24.0% 64.0% n/a -13.0% 27.0% 19.0%
Net Income (M) $1,786 $5,667 $13,608 -$1,269 $2,767 $1,975
Net Interest Expense (M) $311 $304 $269 $235 $195 $264
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $600 $583 $502 $442 $403 $324
Diluted Shares (M) 812 697 606 558 533 501
Earnings Per Share $2.09 $7.89 $20.54 -$2.27 $5.19 $3.94
EPS Growth n/a 277.51% 160.33% -111.05% 328.63% -24.08%
Avg. Price $34.9 $43.78 $63.74 $51.71 $43.62 $95.3
P/E Ratio 16.62 5.49 3.05 -22.78 8.36 23.88
Free Cash Flow (M) $2,606 $1,956 $2,213 $1,805 $1,970 $1,956
CAPEX (M) $508 $463 $444 $449 $456 $458
EV / EBITDA 16.37 12.89 14.91 13.29 12.44 20.57
Total Debt (M) $7,758 $7,746 $9,082 $8,871 $7,723 $7,425
Net Debt / EBITDA 2.89 2.06 2.25 2.41 2.45 1.89
Current Ratio 1.16 1.8 1.97 2.18 2.44 1.24

eBay has growing revenues and a flat capital expenditure trend, wider gross margins than its peer group, and healthy leverage levels. However, the firm has good EPS growth resulting mainly from stock repurchases. Finally, we note that eBay has positive cash flows and just enough current assets to cover current liabilities, as shown by its current ratio of 1.24.

eBay's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

eBay has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 17.7, compared to an average of 20.93 for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $5.22, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 15.3. According to the 14.0% compound average growth rate of eBay's historical and projected earnings per share, the company's PEG ratio is 1.27. Taking the weighted average of the company's EPS CAGR and the broader market's 5-year projected EPS growth rate, we obtain a normalized growth rate of 11.2%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 1.58. This suggests that these shares are overvalued. Furthermore, eBay is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 9.25 is higher than the sector average of 2.93. The company's shares are currently trading 216.9% below their Graham number. Ultimately, eBay's strong cash flows, decent earnings multiple, and healthy debt levels factor towards it being fairly valued, its elevated P/B ratio notwithstanding.

There's an Analyst Consensus that Shares Are Overpriced for eBay:

The 27 analysts following eBay have set target prices ranging from $50.0 to $102.0 per share, for an average of $85.96 with a hold rating. The company is trading 11.4% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst belief that shares are overpriced.

eBay has an average amount of shares sold short because 4.8% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 99.9% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.25%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 13% stake in the company is worth $5,532,736,161.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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