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TRV

Assessing the Validity of Bearish Ratings on Travelers (TRV)

Travelers may be undervalued with mixed growth prospects, but the 23 analysts following the company give it an rating of hold. Their target prices range from $252.0 to $350.0 per share, for an average of $314.0. At today's price of $294.36, Travelers is trading -6.25% away from its average target price, suggesting there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential for the stock.

The Travelers Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides a range of commercial and personal property, and casualty insurance products and services to businesses, government units, associations, and individuals in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Based in New York, NY, the Large-Cap Finance company has 34,000 full time employees. Travelers has provided a 1.5% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Travelers has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 8.8, compared to an average of 15.92 for the Finance sector. Considering its EPS guidance of $28.55, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 10.3.

Travelers is overpriced compared to its book value, since its P/B ratio of 1.96 is higher than the sector average of 1.78. The company's shares are currently -1.4% below their Graham number, indicating that its shares have a margin of safety.

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Revenue (M) $31,981 $34,816 $36,884 $41,364 $46,423 $48,828
Interest Income (M) $339 $340 $351 $376 $392 $425
Operating Margins 10% 13% 9% 8% 13% 16%
Net Margins 8% 11% 8% 7% 11% 13%
Net Income (M) $2,697 $3,662 $2,842 $2,991 $4,999 $6,288
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $789 $870 $826 $722 $715 $680
Diluted Shares (M) 255 251 240 232 231 228
Earnings Per Share $10.52 $14.49 $11.77 $12.79 $21.47 $27.43
EPS Growth n/a 37.74% -18.77% 8.67% 67.87% 27.76%
Avg. Price $110.26 $146.69 $167.74 $190.49 $239.99 $307.23
P/E Ratio 10.44 10.03 14.08 14.73 11.03 11.04
Free Cash Flow (M) $6,519 $7,274 $6,465 $7,711 $9,074 $10,606
EV / EBITDA 8.46 8.19 11.27 12.63 9.05 9.25
Total Debt (M) $6,650 $7,390 $7,392 $8,131 $8,133 $9,567
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.47 1.24 1.58 1.83 1.08 1.03
Current Ratio 7.21 7.61 7.99 6.5 6.99 2.81
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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