ADI

Don't Judge Analog Devices on Technicals Alone - Check Its Fundamentals!

Analog Devices logged a -0.5% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $176.79 per share.

Analog Devices shares moved 15.1% over the last 52 weeks, with a high of $198.25 and a low of $133.48. During this time, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 15.0%. As of January 2022, the company's 50-day average price is $187.0. Analog Devices, Inc. designs, manufactures, tests, and markets integrated circuits (ICs), software, and subsystems that leverage analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing technologies. The large-cap Technology company has 24,450 full time employees and is based in Wilmington, MA. Analog Devices has returned a 1.8% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Snapshot of the Company's Consistent Operating Margins:

2019-10-31 2020-10-31 2021-10-31 2022-10-31
Revenue (MM) $5,991 $5,603 $7,318 $12,014
Revenue Growth n/a -6.48% 30.61% 64.16%
Gross Margins 67.0% 65.9% 61.8% 62.7%
Gross Margins Growth n/a -1.64% -6.22% 1.46%
Operating Margins 30.2% 27.7% 24.3% 29.6%
Operating Margins Growth n/a -8.28% -12.27% 21.81%
Net Margins 22.75% 21.79% 19.0% 22.88%
Net Margins Growth n/a -4.22% -12.8% 20.42%
Earnings Per Share $3.65 $3.28 $3.46 $6.59
EPS Growth n/a -10.14% 5.49% 90.46%
Diluted Shares (MM) 373 372 401 506
Free Cash Flow (MM) $1,978 $1,843 $2,391 $3,776
FCF Growth n/a -6.82% 29.77% 57.9%
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$275 -$166 -$344 -$699
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.93 nan 1.85 0.92

Analog Devices Is Reasonably Valued:

Compared to the Technology sector's average of 27.16, Analog Devices has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 26.8 and, according to its EPS guidance of 10.94, an expected P/E ratio of 16.2. Analog Devices's PEG ratio is 1.16 based on its 24.6% compound average growth rate of historical and projected earnings per share. However, we believe that it is more prudent to calculate the PEG ratio using the broader market's 5-year expected EPS growth rate of 10.5%, because the growth rate implied by Analog Devices's past and expected EPS is probably not sustainable. This more prudent approach shows a PEG ratio of 2.7, which suggests that the company's shares are actually overvalued.

However, Analog Devices is likely undervalued in terms of its equity because its P/B ratio is 2.4 compared to its sector average of 6.23. The company's shares are currently trading 112.7% above their fair value as expressed by Benjamin Graham's formula:

√(22.5 * 4-year average EPS * book value per share) = √(22.5 * 4.25 * 72.218) = $83.1

Analog Devices Is the Subject of Mixed Market Indicators:

25 analysts are following Analog Devices and have set target prices ranging from $175.0 to $251.0 per share. On average, they have given the company a rating of buy. At the current price of $176.79, ADI is trading -19.35% away from its average analyst target price of $219.22 per share, implying an analyst consensus of some upside potential for the stock.

The company has a very low short interest since 1.1% of the company's shares are tied to short positions. Institutions own 89.6% of Analog Devices's shares, while the insider ownership rate stands at 0.37%. The biggest shareholder is the Vanguard Group, Inc. with a 9% stake in the company worth approximately $8,132,457,433.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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