Tumbling to a price of $9.88 during today's morning trading session, shares of Vale are now -30.08% below their average target price of $14.12. Does this mean the stock will reverse course? Analysts are giving VALE an average rating of buy and target prices ranging from 10.0 to 18.0 dollars per share.
The market seems to share this optimistic view, since Vale has a short interest of only 1.8% (this is the percentage of the share float that is being shorted). Each short position represents an investor's expectation that the price of the stock will decrease in the future.
When a stock is sold short, it means an investor has borrowed shares of the stock from their broker, and then sold them at the going market price. The investor hopes for the price to decline, so that they might buy those shares back at a lower price in the future. Once they do, they can return the borrowed shares to their broker, and keep the profit they made on the transaction.
We can make inferences about the market sentiment surrounding Vale by analyzing its rate of institutional ownership. If institutions such as hedge funds and pension funds are the primary shareholders of a corporation, it most likely means that its shares are a good investment according to those institutions' analysts.
At 16.2%, the rate of institutional ownership is average, indicating that a sufficient number of institutions have concluded that it is a stable investment. Beware, however, that the rate of institutional ownership could also indicate an ongoing proxy battle or takeover attempt -- so you should also periodically check the news about a stock whose institutional ownership you are tracking.
To sum up, Vale is probably the subject of mixed market sentiment because of an analyst consensus of strong upside potential, a buy rating, a very low short interest, and a very small number of institutional investors. At Market Inference, we believe that any investment decision should be preceded by an in-depth analysis of the company's fundamental values and a comparison with similar stocks.
Here's a snapshot of some important facts to keep in mind about VALE:
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The stock has trailing 12 month earnings per share (EPS) of $2.16
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Vale has a trailing 12 month Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 4.6 compared to the S&P 500 average of 29.3
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The company has a Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.2 in contrast to the S&P 500's average ratio of 4.74
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Vale is a Basic Materials company, and the sector average P/E and P/B ratios are 24.53 and 2.64 respectively
