What Does the Market Think of Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Shares?

By Tamara Parker • Friday, September 20 15:06 • Permanent Link

With a sudden -5.1% drop to $194.01, Old Dominion Freight Line has Wall Street wondering if its shares will keep moving past its target price of $197.62. With an average rating of buy, and analysts assigning target prices from 160.0 to 228.0 dollars per share, investors will be betting heavily on the Integrated Freight & Logistics stock's next move.

The market seems to share this rosy outlook, since Old Dominion Freight Line has a short interest of only 4.7%. This represents the percentage of the share float that is being shorted, and each short position stands for an investor's expectation that the price of the stock will go down in the future.

Short selling involves borrowing shares and then selling them at current market prices. In the successful version of the strategy, the shares are purchased at a lower price at some time in the future. The investor then returns the shares to the lender, and keeps the profit made on the sell/buy transaction.

One way to get an idea of the market sentiment on a stock is to check its rate of institutional ownership. In the case of Old Dominion Freight Line, institutional investors own 79.9% of the shares, which indicates they have a very high stake in the company. What does this really tell us?

Institutional investors such as hedge funds, investment firms, and wealth managers devote significant resources to identifying good investments. If they have decided to invest in ODFL, it probably means they believe it is a solid investment choice.

But it could also mean they are buying up shares in an effort to acquire the company or to get seats on the board of directors. Also bear in mind that institutions are fallible (just maybe not quite as fallible as the average retail investor), so they may simply be wrong when they think they've found a good stock.

To sum up, Old Dominion Freight Line is probably the subject of positive market sentiment because of an analyst consensus of some upside potential, a buy rating, an average amount of shares sold short, and an average number of institutional investors. At Market Inference, we believe that any investment decision should be preceded by an in-depth analysis of the company's fundamental values and a comparison with similar stocks.

Here's a snapshot of some important facts to keep in mind about ODFL:

The stock has trailing 12 month earnings per share (EPS) of $5.85
Old Dominion Freight Line has a trailing 12 month Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 33.2 compared to the S&P 500 average of 28.21
The company has a Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 10.13 in contrast to the S&P 500's average ratio of 4.71
Old Dominion Freight Line is a Industrials company, and the sector average P/E and P/B ratios are 25.19 and 3.17 respectively

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.