WMT

Market Inference Overview -- WMT Stock

Now trading at a price of $154.04, Walmart has moved -1.1% so far today.

Over the last year, Walmart logged a 4.0% change, with its stock price reaching a high of $169.94 and a low of $136.09. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -13.0%. As of April 2023, the company's 50-day average price was $160.46. Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, and other units worldwide. Based in Bentonville, AR, the large-cap Consumer Discretionary company has 2,100,000 full time employees. Walmart has offered a 1.5% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

EPS Trend Sustained Primarily by Reducing the Number of Shares Outstanding:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (MM) $500,343 $514,405 $523,964 $559,151 $572,754 $611,289
Revenue Growth n/a 2.81% 1.86% 6.72% 2.43% 6.73%
Gross Margins 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 24%
Operating Margins 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3%
Net Margins 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Net Income (MM) $10,523 $7,179 $15,201 $13,706 $13,940 $11,680
Net Interest Expense (MM) $1,978 $1,975 $2,262 $1,976 $1,674 $1,787
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) $10,529 $10,678 $10,987 $11,152 $10,658 $10,945
Earnings Per Share $3.28 $2.26 $5.19 $4.75 $4.87 $4.27
EPS Growth n/a -31.1% 129.65% -8.48% 2.53% -12.32%
Diluted Shares (MM) 3,010 2,945 2,868 2,847 2,805 2,734
Free Cash Flow (MM) $18,286 $17,409 $14,550 $25,810 $11,075 $11,984
Capital Expenditures (MM) $10,051 $10,344 $10,705 $10,264 $13,106 $16,857
Current Ratio 0.81 0.81 0.84 0.95 0.86 0.83
Long Term Debt (MM) $49,896 $44,912 $40,849 $36,425 $33,935 $36,806
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.67 1.39 1.0 0.68 0.96 0.99

Walmart's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Walmart has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 26.7, compared to an average of 22.96 for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $7.06, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 22.7. The company doesn't issue forward earnings guidance, and the compound average growth rate of its last 6 years of reported EPS is 4.5%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 5.94, which suggests that it is overpriced. Furthermore, Walmart is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 5.22 is higher than the sector average of 4.24. The company's shares are currently trading 190.6% above their Graham number.

Analysts Give Walmart an Average Rating of Buy:

The 39 analysts following Walmart have set target prices ranging from $163.0 to $210.0 per share, for an average of $179.94 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -10.8% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Walmart has a very low short interest because 1.0% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 33.5% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 47.24%, suggesting a large amount of insider shareholders. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 5% stake in the company is worth $21,136,567,949.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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