Rocketing to a price of $93.54 during today's afternoon trading session, shares of NetEase are still -18.9% below their average target price of $115.34. Could there be more upside potential for the stock? Analysts are giving NTES an average rating of buy and target prices ranging from $82.22 to $157.05 dollars per share.
The market seems to share this rosy outlook, since NetEase has a short interest of only 1.2%. This represents the percentage of the share float that is being shorted, and each short position stands for an investor's expectation that the price of the stock will go down in the future.
When a stock is sold short, it means an investor has borrowed shares of the stock from their broker, and then sold them at the going market price. The investor hopes for the price to decline, so that they might buy those shares back at a lower price in the future. Once they do, they can return the borrowed shares to their broker, and keep the profit they made on the transaction.
We can make inferences about the market sentiment surrounding NetEase by analyzing its rate of institutional ownership. If institutions such as hedge funds and pension funds are the primary shareholders of a corporation, it most likely means that its shares are a good investment according to those institutions' analysts.
At 11.9%, the rate of institutional ownership is average, indicating that a sufficient number of institutions have concluded that it is a stable investment. Beware, however, that the rate of institutional ownership could also indicate an ongoing proxy battle or takeover attempt -- so you should also periodically check the news about a stock whose institutional ownership you are tracking.
Overall, there is positive market sentiment on NetEase because its an analyst consensus of some upside potential, a buy rating, a very low short interest, and a very small number of institutional investors. Warren Buffett famously said that in the short term, markets are voting mechanisms, but in the long term, they are weighing mechanisms. This means that long term investors should be aware of a stock's fundamentals before committing.
Buffett was one of the fist investors to focus on free cash flow as a yardstick for a company's health. Here are NTES's recent cash flows:
| Date Reported | Cash Flow from Operations ($ k) | Capital expenditures ($ k) | Free Cash Flow ($ k) | YoY Growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4,976,306 | 324,167 | 4,652,139 | 25.29 |
| 2022 | 4,017,461 | 304,510 | 3,712,951 | 1.44 |
| 2021 | 3,911,547 | 251,362 | 3,660,185 | 0.21 |
| 2020 | 3,814,281 | 161,773 | 3,652,508 | 58.86 |
| 2019 | 2,472,990 | 173,731 | 2,299,259 | 45.2 |
| 2018 | 1,951,260 | 367,704 | 1,583,556 |
