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Don't Judge Chubb on Technicals Alone - Check Its Fundamentals!

Chubb logged a -1.7% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $186.52 per share.

Over the last year, Chubb logged a -2.1% change, with its stock price reaching a high of $231.37 and a low of $173.78. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -17.0%. As of April 2023, the company's 50-day average price was $196.12. Chubb Limited provides insurance and reinsurance products worldwide. Based in Zurich, Switzerland, the large-cap Finance company has 34,000 full time employees. Chubb has offered a 1.7% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

The Business Runs With Low Leverage Levels:

2019-12-31 2020-12-31 2021-12-31 2022-12-31
Revenue (MM) $34,186 $35,994 $40,963 $43,124
Interest Income (MM) -$552 -$516 -$492 -$570
Net Margins 13.03% 9.82% 20.85% 12.32%
Net Income (MM) $4,454 $3,533 $8,539 $5,313
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$305 -$290 -$287 -$285
Earnings Per Share $9.71 $7.79 $19.27 $12.53
EPS Growth n/a -19.77% 147.37% -34.98%
Diluted Shares (MM) 459 453 443 414
Free Cash Flow (MM) $6,342 $9,785 $11,149 $11,243
Long Term Debt (MM) $13,559 $14,948 $15,169 $14,402
Net Debt / EBITDA 2.18 2.66 1.37 1.73

Chubb benefits from growing revenues and no capital expenditures, a pattern of improving cash flows, and low leverage. The company's financial statements show decent net margins with a stable trend and positive EPS growth.

Chubb's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Chubb has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 15.7, compared to an average of 14.34 for the Finance sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $20.19, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 9.7. According to the 15.8% compound average growth rate of Chubb's historical and projected earnings per share, the company's PEG ratio is 0.99. Taking the weighted average of the company's EPS CAGR and the broader market's 5-year projected EPS growth rate, we obtain a normalized growth rate of 9.7%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 1.61. This suggests that these shares are overvalued. In contrast, the market is likely undervaluing Chubb in terms of its equity because its P/B ratio is 1.46 while the sector average is 1.57. The company's shares are currently trading -1.0% below their Graham number.

Chubb Has an Analyst Consensus of Strong Upside Potential:

The 18 analysts following Chubb have set target prices ranging from $192.0 to $270.0 per share, for an average of $238.25 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -17.7% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of strong upside potential.

Chubb has a very low short interest because 0.5% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 90.3% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.27%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is the Vanguard Group, Inc., whose 9% stake in the company is worth $7,295,608,729.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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