SPG

Simon Property (SPG) – A Brief Stock Analysis

We've been asking ourselves recently if the market has placed a fair valuation on Simon Property. Let's dive into some of the fundamental values of this large-cap Real Estate company to determine if there might be an opportunity here for value-minded investors.

Simon Property's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Simon is a real estate investment trust engaged in the ownership of premier shopping, dining, entertainment and mixed-use destinations and an S&P 100 company (Simon Property Group, NYSE: SPG). Our properties across North America, Europe and Asia provide community gathering places for millions of people every day and generate billions in annual sales. The company belongs to the Real Estate sector, which has an average price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.55 and an average price to book (P/B) ratio of 2.1. In contrast, Simon Property has a trailing 12 month P/E ratio of 20.4 and a P/B ratio of 15.45.

Simon Property's PEG ratio is 2.54, which shows that the stock is probably overvalued in terms of its estimated growth. For reference, a PEG ratio near or below 1 is a potential signal that a company is undervalued.

The Company May Be Profitable, but Its Balance Sheet Is Highly Leveraged:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (MM) $5,645 $5,755 $4,608 $5,117 $5,291 $5,531
Revenue Growth n/a 1.95% -19.94% 11.05% 3.41% 4.53%
Operating Margins 52% 51% 43% 47% 49% 49%
Net Margins 50% 42% 28% 50% 46% 46%
Net Income (MM) $2,822 $2,423 $1,277 $2,569 $2,452 $2,530
Net Interest Expense (MM) $816 $789 $784 $796 $761 $831
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) $1,282 $1,341 $1,318 $1,263 $1,227 $1,259
Earnings Per Share $8.81 $7.87 $4.03 $7.82 $7.5 $7.73
EPS Growth n/a -10.67% -48.79% 94.04% -4.09% 3.07%
Diluted Shares (MM) 320 308 317 329 327 327
Free Cash Flow (MM) $2,969 $2,932 $1,843 $3,109 $3,117 $3,027
Capital Expenditures (MM) $782 $876 $484 $528 $650 $800
Total Debt (MM) $23,306 $24,163 $26,723 $25,321 $24,960 $24,917
Net Debt / EBITDA 5.42 5.52 7.82 6.74 6.39 6.1
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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