AIG

AIG Stock -- What's In It For Investors?

It hasn't been a great morning session for American International investors, who have watched their shares sink by -3.7% to a price of $73.84. Some of you might be wondering if it's time to buy the dip. If you are considering this, make sure to check the company's fundamentals first to determine if the shares are fairly valued at today's prices.

American International Is Potentially Undervalued and Its Shares Are Discounted:

American International Group, Inc. offers insurance products for commercial, institutional, and individual customers in North America and internationally. The company belongs to the Finance sector, which has an average price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.48 and an average price to book (P/B) ratio of 1.85. In contrast, American International has a trailing 12 month P/E ratio of 14.1 and a P/B ratio of 1.08.

When we divideAmerican International's P/E ratio by its expected five-year EPS growth rate, we obtain a PEG ratio of 0.56, which indicates that the market is undervaluing the company's projected growth (a PEG ratio of 1 indicates a fairly valued company). Your analysis of the stock shouldn't end here. Rather, a good PEG ratio should alert you that it may be worthwhile to take a closer look at the stock.

The Company's Revenues Are Declining:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (M) $47,389 $49,746 $43,736 $52,157 $54,450 $46,802
Interest Income (M) $1,309 $1,417 $1,457 $1,305 $1,125 $1,136
Operating Margins 1% 11% -17% 26% 26% 8%
Net Margins 0% 7% -14% 20% 19% 8%
Net Income (M) -$6 $3,348 -$5,944 $10,367 $10,227 $3,643
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $5,362 $5,006 $4,120 $4,542 $4,409 $4,214
Diluted Shares (M) 888 896 869 865 788 725
Earnings Per Share -$0.01 $3.74 -$6.88 $11.95 $12.94 $4.98
EPS Growth n/a 37500.0% -283.96% 273.69% 8.28% -61.51%
Avg. Price $45.65 $44.93 $31.26 $48.0 $57.0 $73.84
P/E Ratio -4565.0 11.85 -4.54 3.97 4.35 14.71
Free Cash Flow (M) -$762 -$1,807 $685 $5,880 $3,924 $6,003
CAPEX (M) $368 n/a $353 $343 $210 $240
EV / EBITDA 12.88 6.95 -19.54 3.88 4.13 7.11
Total Debt (M) $34,540 $35,350 $37,534 $30,163 $33,059 $5,182
Net Debt / EBITDA 5.55 3.16 -10.94 1.56 1.65 0.37

American International has exceptional EPS growth, generally positive cash flows, and low leverage levels. However, the firm has slight revenue growth and decreasing reinvestment in the business. Finally, we note that American International has weak operating margins with a positive growth rate.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

IN FOCUS